BlockBeats 消息,3 月 3 日,迪拜黄金空运枢纽航班暂停,实物流通短期受阻;同时伊朗宣称关闭霍尔木兹海峡,市场提前交易能源中断风险。油价急涨,推升通胀预期、压缩降息空间,石油—通胀—利率—黄金链条重新定价。机构偏多黄金,不过若油价推升实际利率,金价短期或承压,波动率料放大。跨市场看,高油价压缩风险资产估值,资金转向美元与黄金避险,未来数周核心在通胀与实际利率博弈。
加密市场方面,BTC 自 65,000 急拉至 70,000 上方后回落,属典型「上扫流动性」。69,500–70,500 为主要空单堆积区;68,000 下方多头杠杆已出清;64,000 仍存次级流动性。市场已完成第一阶段「清多」,焦点转向是否进一步挤压上方空单。若 69,000 上方站稳失败,行情或回归区间;若放量吞噬 69,800 以上流动性,将触发空单被动回补。
总结而言,宏观波动放大,但 BTC 仍处于区间内流动性博弈阶段。
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