Đồng rial Iran rơi tự do năm 2026, lạm phát bào mòn tiền tiết kiệm mỗi ngày, khiến giới trung lưu mất niềm tin vào ngân hàng. Bị kẹp bởi trừng phạt và nguy cơ phong tỏa tài khoản, nhiều gia đình chuyển sang crypto, nhất là Bitcoin và stablecoin, để giữ giá trị.
Kịch bản này gợi lại Lebanon từ cuối 2019: ngân hàng đóng băng rút tiền, tiền USD bị ép đổi sang nội tệ và mất giá hơn 90%, người dân sống nhờ kiều hối và giao dịch ngang hàng trên Telegram. Bitcoin khi đó giúp cất giữ tài sản, chuyển tiền nhanh, không cần trung gian; nhưng đòi hỏi tự quản lý khóa riêng, sao lưu seed phrase và tránh dịch vụ lưu ký. Iran đang đi theo lộ trình tương tự, với dòng tiền crypto hàng tỷ USD và xu hướng tự lưu ký tăng.
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