数据显示：持有比特币至少三年才能避免亏损

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Source: PANews

2026-02-28 14:18:23

BTC0,65%

PANews 2月28日消息，据Cointelegraph报道，Bitwise的一项分析回顾了比特币在2010年7月17日至2026年2月11日期间的价格历史，得出结论：如果持有比特币至少三年，亏损的概率将降至仅0.70%。持有超过三年，亏损风险进一步下降：五年为0.2%，十年为0%。持有时间少于三年的交易者面临更高的亏损风险，例如日内买家亏损概率为47.1%。尽管比特币较2025年10月高点下跌约50%，目前交易价约65,000美元，但仍远高于其3至5年的实现价格34,780美元，意味着在此期间买入并持有的投资者仍坐拥约90%的利润。而过去两年买入的多数交易者则处于亏损状态，持有6至12个月的成本基础约101,250美元，浮亏约35%；持有1至2年的成本基础约78,150美元，浮亏约15%。

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