PANews 2月9日消息,Matrixport发文分析称,在一轮投降式抛售(capitulation)后,比特币正尝试展开逆势反弹。本轮下跌清洗了脆弱仓位,并在衍生品市场触发被动抛压与连锁强平(强制平仓)。短期看,技术面仍有上探空间;但反弹能否走得更远,关键在于是否有新增资金接力,而非仅靠空头回补与机制性对冲资金来维持。
正如此前所述,比特币仍处于更大级别的熊市重置阶段。在这一阶段,快速拉升并不少见,但往往难以延续。链上数据也在持续印证当前环境仍偏脆弱:需求动能走弱,结构性增持有限。与此同时,期权端对冲活动升温,进一步放大波动。若现货承接偏弱,价格更容易出现跳空式下行,衍生品对比特币价格形成的影响也随之上升。
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