美國預測市場平台 Kalshi 宣佈聘請美國前總統歐巴馬幕僚卡特(Stephanie Cutter)擔任政策顧問,欲透過她豐富的政治背景,深化 Kalshi 與華府及全美各州政府的聯繫,因應當前法規環境帶來的監管挑戰。
卡特為民主黨資深顧問突顯 Kalshi 的政壇佈局
卡特為公關公司 Precision Strategies 的共同創辦人,曾長期為民主黨高層提供策略,她的加入象徵 Kalshi 正積極建立跨黨派的政壇影響力,此前,川普總統之子小川普(Donald Trump Jr.)亦於 2025 年 1 月出任 Kalshi 的戰略顧問。Kalshi 執行長曼蘇爾(Tarek Mansour)表示,卡特的專業經驗有助於在複雜的政治環境中精準傳遞企業訊息。
Kalshi 目前正處於法律爭議的風口浪尖,美國多個州級機構針對該平台提供的賽事合約提起訴訟,指控其運作模式涉及非法賭博。CFTC 主席塞利格(Michael Selig)領導下的美國商品期貨交易委員會(CFTC)主張預測市場屬於衍生性金融工具,應由 CFTC 行使 Exclusive Jurisdiction (專屬管轄權),甚至對地方博彩監管機構發起法律行動,然而, Kalshi 的事件合約如何定義仍是未知數。
國會敦促禁止政治人物進行內線交易
除了司法訴訟,美國國會民主黨成員亦對預測市場可能引發的內線交易風險表示關注,特別是涉及國際地緣政治事件的交易。部分議員已提出相關法案,擬禁止政治人物利用內線消息進行投注。儘管 Kalshi 與 Polymarket 已於今年 3 月宣佈將實施更嚴格的合規審查,以防範內線交易,但目前相關限制法案仍處於審議階段,尚未正式簽署生效。
預測數據成為政治風向球
預測市場產出的賠率數據已成為民意調查與專家意見之外,觀察社會動向的重要參考。卡特指出傳統觀點往往受限於社會意見兩極化,而預測市場透過資金投入的實質行為,能提供更真實的解析。
卡特分析其職業生涯長期深耕於媒體、政治與商業的交會點,在資訊爆炸的環境下,真相往往容易被掩蓋。她認為預測市場具備「撥開迷霧」的功能,能為數百萬使用者提供更具有邏輯的數據,用以取代主觀臆測與個人偏見,在多元觀點紛雜的現況中,預測市場被視為少數能反映真實現況的數據來源。目前,已有諸多政治競選團隊將 Kalshi 賠率納入選情評估與宏觀經濟走向的參考範疇。預測市場建立的數據驅動型敘事(Data-driven Narratives),赫然成為政治輿論的風向球。
這篇文章 Kalshi 聘請美國前總統歐巴馬幕僚卡特擔任政策顧問 最早出現於 鏈新聞 ABMedia。
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Gerelateerde artikelen
Gensyn Launches Delphi, AI-Settled Information Market Platform
Gate News message, April 22 — Gensyn, a decentralized AI infrastructure network backed by a16z crypto, launched its flagship product Delphi, an AI-settled information market platform that allows anyone to create markets and earn fees based on trading volume.
Market creators pre-select fixed-weight
GateNews2u geleden
ProCap Financial and Kalshi Launch Predictive Market Research Product
Gate News message, April 22 — ProCap Financial, backed by crypto entrepreneur Anthony Pompliano, has partnered with prediction market operator Kalshi to launch a professional research product tailored to predictive markets. ProCap will access Kalshi's data through a direct pipeline and employ AI age
GateNews8u geleden
Gate日報(4月22日):美國PACE法案擬開放聯準會支付准入;Kalshi計劃推出永續期貨
比特幣(BTC)迎來短線反彈,4 月 22 日暫報 76,230 美元左右。美國兩黨 PACE 法案擬開放聯準會支付系統接入,並獲加密產業支持。據 The Information 報導,Kalshi 正在考慮推出永續期貨,以擴大加密貨幣業務。
MarketWhisper12u geleden
Polymarket 推出永續合約:BTC、NVDA、黃金 10x 槓桿交易
Polymarket4月21日宣布推出永續合約,首波資產為比特幣、NVDA、黃金,最高10x槓桿、24/7交易,現以早期使用名單開放。因完成CFTC DCM註冊,得以在美國提供長倉型期貨與永續合約,無到期日。同期 Kalshi 宣布競品,市場傳聞新輪融資估值偏高。手續費、保證金、清算等細節待正式上線公布。
ChainNewsAbmedia12u geleden
Account With 46% Win Rate Bets $850K on Spurs Over Trail Blazers in NBA Playoff Western First Round Game 2
Polymarket tracked a 46% win-rate account placing $850k on Spurs in NBA Playoff Game 2: $800k on Spurs win and $50k on Spurs spread, as Spurs lead 1-0 in the series.
Abstract: Gate News reports that a Polymarket user with a 46% win rate placed $850,000 on the Spurs vs. Trail Blazers playoff game, including $800,000 on Spurs to win at 84.5 cents and $50,000 on Spurs spread at 50.8 cents. The Spurs held a 1-0 series lead as the game began, with listed lineups for both teams.
GateNews13u geleden
Polymarket's US-Iran Peace Deal Odds Plummet to 18%, Down 17% in 24 Hours
Gate News message, April 22 — The probability of a permanent US-Iran peace deal on Polymarket before April 30 has dropped sharply to 18%, down 17% over the past 24 hours, according to monitoring by Odaily Seer. Total trading volume on this prediction market contract has exceeded $35 million.
The co
GateNews13u geleden