Prediction Market

Polymarket has enlisted blockchain data firm Chainalysis to help police insider trading and "all types of fraud and market manipulation" as the prediction market seeks to raise $400 million and gain approval to relaunch in the U.S., according to a statement from Thursday. The company stated that "in

某头部加密货币交易所于 4 月 30 日宣布扩展其预测市场，推出每日加密货币预测活动。用户现在可以对比特币、以太坊和 Solana 等主要资产的短期价格走势进行交易，无需保证金要求且无清算风险。该平台还举办预测锦标赛至 2026 年 5 月 20 日，提供每周奖励。该交易所计划在未来几周内推出更高频率的每小时、15 分钟和 5 分钟活动。

According to Odaily Seer, Polymarket's prediction that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points zero times in 2026 rose to 58% today, up 9% in 24 hours. Total trading volume for the 2026 Fed rate cut prediction market has approached $22 million. The contract will settle based on the act

According to a report by Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) released in mid-March 2026, Polymarket may have broader insider trading issues than previously known. Analysis of 435,000 settled markets and $54.4 billion in trading volume from January 2021 to mid-March 2026 reveals unusually high

According to Odaily Seer, the probability that Printr's public sale will raise over $3 million, as tracked on Polymarket prediction market, fell to 15% on April 30, down over 80% intraday with trading volume near $4.4 million. The market will resolve based on total subscription amounts on Sonar

According to on-chain researcher Fleck, Hyperliquid is publicly testing HIP-4, a proposal to integrate prediction markets directly into its trading platform alongside perpetual futures. The decentralized exchange partnered with Kalshi, which co-authored the proposal, formalizing the collaboration in

According to Odaily Seer, a Polymarket account that has generated over $1.7 million in profits (0x8c80d213c0cbad777d06ee3f58f6ca4bc03102c3) entered a $300,000 position betting on the Houston Rockets to defeat the Los Angeles Lakers in Western Conference First Round Game 5 today. The account opened t

According to Polymarket, the probability that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will step down as a Fed governor by May 30 plummeted to 9% on April 30, down 25% in 24 hours. The odds of him leaving by December 31 fell to 66%, down 11% in the same period. Powell stated this morning that he would co

According to Odaily Seer, an account with losses exceeding $3 million purchased $260,000 of Polymarket contracts predicting the Pistons to beat the Magic with a 10.5-point spread on April 30 (Beijing time). The account opened at an average price of 51.5 cents and currently trades at 69.5 cents,

According to Odaily Seer, the probability of Printr's public sale raising over $4 million on Polymarket fell to 63% overnight, down more than 30% in 24 hours. Trading volume reached approximately $3.26 million. The project has raised over $2.46 million to date, with approximately 35 hours

According to Polymarket's official statement, the prediction market platform has denied recent allegations that it suffered a data breach, saying the information being circulated involves public API endpoints and on-chain blockchain data. A hacker using the pseudonym "xorcat" claimed to have

According to BlockBeats, multiple major institutions on April 29 previewed Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference scheduled for April 30, warning of potential hawkish risks. Most institutions expect the Fed to maintain a cautious stance amid improving labor markets and persistent inflation press

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring of Polymarket's UEFA Champions League winner prediction market, Paris Saint-Germain's odds to win rose to 32% on April 29, matching Bayern Munich, with a 24-hour gain of 6%. Bayern Munich's odds fell 5%

According to CoinDesk, Hyperliquid recently launched outcome tokens for prediction markets, introducing a zero opening fee model to compete with Polymarket and Kalshi. The platform charges fees only on closing or settlement transactions across minting, trading, burning, and settlement scenarios. The

According to official data, on April 29, crypto trading aggregation platform XBIT ranked fourth on the Polymarket Builder leaderboard with approximately $36.12 million in monthly trading volume. Launched in early April, XBIT achieved significant growth within weeks and has passed official Polymarket

Prediction market volume climbed to $25.7 billion in March, a 10.6% jump from February, with most users trading under $10,000, according to a report from Bitget Wallet produced in collaboration with Polymarket. The report tracked 1.29 million wallets in the first quarter and found that retail activi

Gate News message, April 29 — Kalshi has launched a music streaming weekly play prediction market, allowing users to trade on the up or down movement of Spotify weekly play counts for artists including Drake, Taylor Swift, Justin Bieber, and Bad Bunny. Users can now speculate on the weekly streamin

根據市場消息，首檔預測市場ETF預計5月5日生效，Roundhill 已提交申請，主打民主黨/共和黨在美國總統、參議院、眾議院選舉的對決。ETF價格反映事件發生機率，隨民調與新聞波動。專家認為可提升市場流動性，但仍須面臨CFTC與州府就監管的爭議，及體育賽事等範圍的法律挑戰。

Gate News message, April 29 — A trader with a 53% win rate purchased $43,000 worth of prediction contracts betting on T1's victory over Nongshim Red Force (NS) in an upcoming League of Legends match on Polymarket, according to monitoring by Odaily Seer. The position was opened at 75 cents per contra

Polymarket, one of the largest prediction markets in operation, has reportedly approached the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to lift a four-year ban on American users of its main on-chain exchange, according to Bloomberg. With four of five CFTC commissioner seats vacant, Chair Mich