PANews 2月10日消息，据CertiK发布的《2026 Skynet预测市场报告》显示，预测市场在2025年交易量增长至635亿美元，实现4倍增长，Kalshi、Polymarket和Opinion成为主导平台。然而，规模增长也带来了新的风险，包括预言机漏洞、管理员密钥滥用及Web2.5架构问题。
报告指出，预测市场在美国通过CFTC裁定成为合法金融产品，但在多个欧盟国家被视为未经授权的赌博而遭禁。此外，美国各州的监管差异可能进一步加剧合规复杂性。2025年12月，Polymarket的第三方认证提供商遭遇安全事件，暴露了混合Web2/Web3架构的集中式故障点。研究还估计，在空投高峰期，部分平台的人工交易量达60%，严重扭曲流动性指标。
CertiK预测，2026年预测市场将迎来技术隐私增强及机构采用加速，但平台需同时解决流动性维护、安全基础设施建设及收入模式可持续性等问题，以实现长期发展。
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