随着市场情绪逐步企稳，比特币和整体加密货币市场正在释放积极信号。资产管理巨头 VanEck 旗下 MarketVector Indexes 的研究显示，其加密货币热度指数自 2025 年 4 月市场触底以来，首次发出明确的买入信号，引发投资者高度关注。
据 MarketVector Indexes 负责人 Martin Leinweber 介绍，MarketVector 加密货币热度指数是一项数据驱动的市场“温度计”，用于衡量加密市场是否处于低估、中性或过热状态。与传统基于恐慌和情绪的指标不同，该指数综合了结构性数据、技术指标和专有移动平均线，在市场状态发生转换时触发系统性的买入或卖出信号。
目前，该指数读数为 16.8%，已进入深度低估区间。Leinweber 指出，其专有移动平均线近期已转入看涨区域，这通常被视为中期趋势反转的重要信号。他表示，市场广度正在改善，越来越多的加密资产开始跑赢比特币，说明市场或已走出此前的恐慌性抛售阶段。
Leinweber 在社交平台上表示，对于当前加密货币配置不足的投资者而言，这可能是重新评估投资组合的关键窗口期，而不是等价格明显反弹后再被动入场。他认为，整体市场情绪可能已经接近本轮周期的低点。
VanEck 数字资产研究主管 Matthew Sigel 也转发了该分析，并指出其内部的市场广度模型同样触发了数月以来比特币的首个看涨信号。这一观点进一步强化了市场对比特币阶段性见底的预期。
此前，VanEck 多次强调比特币的四年周期特征。该机构认为，在经历一段相对低迷的表现后，随着全球流动性环境改善以及机构资金回流，2026 年比特币价格存在明显的修复与反弹空间。综合来看，VanEck 加密货币热度指数的最新信号，或正为下一轮比特币牛市提供重要的前瞻参考。
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