FOMC会议临近,市场预期降息或推迟至10月,今年仅降息一次

Gate News 消息,3 月 18 日,美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)将于明日 2 时召开议息会议,市场普遍认为本次会议维持利率不变的可能性极高,近期内也不会有降息动作。期货价格显示,政策制定者至少要到 9 月份才会考虑宽松政策,更有可能推迟至 10 月份,且今年预计仅降息一次。

CNBC 汇总了本次 FOMC 会议的主流预期观点:罗素投资高级投资策略师表示,3 月份会议几乎肯定维持利率不变,但鲍威尔主席可能透露的任何关于未来利率走向的线索都将至关重要。美国经济依然稳健,但这也意味着进一步降息的门槛可能会相当高。

美国银行的美联储观察员指出,由于市场几乎完全排除 4 月份降息的可能性,鲍威尔引导市场的能力取决于市场对其言论在多大程度上代表委员会共识,而非个人观点。即使撇开这一限制,鲍威尔的工作也充满挑战。

美联储前副主席罗杰·弗格森表示,他预计委员会在会后声明中对通胀、失业、经济增长和预期政策路径的描述将保持谨慎。

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