DOGE Enters Calm Phase Again as Analysts Cite ‘Late Cycle Returns’ in Long-Term Pattern

DOGE holds a steady macro cycle with calm phases that often precede strong late-cycle returns.

RSI retest near $0.16 shows early strength as analysts monitor support at $0.14 and resistance at $0.18.

DeFi activity and reduced large-holder outflows support ongoing accumulation across the current market cycle.

Dogecoin continues to attract market attention as traders follow its long-term pattern and recurring cycle structure. The broader view shows that DOGE maintains a steady macro trend, and many traders note that each past cycle “never deceived in terms of late cycle returns.” The asset often moves sideways for long periods, yet it usually shows stronger performance once wider Bull Market conditions return.

Cyclical Pattern Structure and Market Behavior

Dogecoin’s long chart shows three wide phases of expansion, pullback, and new accumulation. According to an observation by Bitcoinsensus, Cycle 1 showed a rise of 3,858% from its base before a long downturn. Cycle 2 produced a rise of 21,457% before another extended correction. Cycle 3 now shows an upward structure while trading near $0.16 to $0.19 in recent sessions.

The current cycle also includes a projected expansion of more than 44,000% from the present region, as seen in the shared chart. The repeated calm phases appear in every cycle, and traders continue to watch these long sideways periods because past data shows that strong upward moves often follow broader market strength.

Source: DeFiLlama

Dogecoin’s DeFi activity adds more context to this structure. Data from DeFiLlama shows $15.96 million locked in DeFi, and the value increased 2.55% during the last day. The TVL reached peaks above $25 million in mid-2025 before settling near $15 million. This steady activity shows continued interest across the network.

RSI Retest, Key Levels and Market Activity

Trader Tardigrade stated that “Dogecoin is looking strong at this RSI retest level,” as the indicator touched support and showed a small upward move. The daily chart shows tight trading near $0.16 after steady selling during recent weeks.

Source: TraderTardigrade(X)

On-chain records show a 20% rise in transaction volume on November 16, 2025, and DOGE trades near $0.16 with a market cap of $24.884 billion. Support sits near $0.14, while resistance stands near $0.18 and later $0.22 if volume expands.

Analytics show reduced large-holder outflows, and this often signals accumulation. Traders continue to follow the cycle pattern because the macro view still points to calm phases followed by strong returns during Bull Markets.

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