Bitcoin Bottom in Sight? Technicals and Lunar Cycles Point to Reversal

Bitcoin’s recent pullback has sparked debate on whether a local bottom is forming, with technical indicators and lunar cycle patterns suggesting a potential reversal ahead.

Death Cross at $100K: Bottom Signal or Bear Trap?

Bitcoin’s 50-day and 200-day SMAs are approaching a death cross near $100,000, typically a bearish omen. However, historical data shows such crosses during bull markets often mark capitulation lows rather than breakdowns. The 50-week SMA at $102,800 serves as critical support, holding firm in prior cycles. A bounce from this level could invalidate bearish narratives, targeting $115,000-$120,000.

• Key Levels: $100K death cross; $102,800 50-week SMA.
• Historical Precedent: 2021 cross led to 60% rally.
• Volume: Whale accumulation at lows; ETF inflows $477M.

Lunar Cycle Alignment: Mid-Month Rebound Potential

Lunar cycle analysis, correlating full moons with volatility peaks, aligns with technicals for a reversal. Past cycles show bottoms near new moons, with rallies into full moons. Current patterns suggest accumulation now, with upside post-reversal.

2025 Outlook: $130K-$200K Consensus

Analysts forecast BTC at $130K-$200K by year-end. Changelly sees $123,849; CoinDCX $131,500. VanEck targets $180K-$200K on ETF momentum. For investors, how to buy Bitcoin via compliant platforms ensures entry. How to sell Bitcoin and how to cash out Bitcoin offer liquidity. Sell Bitcoin for cash and convert Bitcoin to cash enable fiat conversions.

Trading Strategy: Longs with Stops

Short-term: Long above $102,800 targeting $115,000, stops at $100,000 (3% risk). Swing: Accumulate dips, staking for 5% APY. Watch $102,800 hold; below $100,000, exit.

In summary, Bitcoin’s death cross and lunar alignment hint at a bottom, with $102,800 key for 2025’s rally.