MetaMask Airdrop Countdown! Mysterious Prize Claim Website Exposed, MASK token issuance probability soars to 35%

A newly discovered domain related to MetaMask has once again sparked speculation that the long-rumored MetaMask Airdrop may be on the horizon. A mysterious rewards website has emerged with a password-protected claim portal, fueling widespread belief. Traders on Polymarket currently estimate a 19% chance of a MASK Airdrop occurring before the end of the year, with the likelihood of an issuance in 2025 soaring to 35%.

Mystery Reward Website Exposed Ignites Community Speculation

The domain claim(.)metamask(.)io was first discovered earlier this week, and its login page requires users to authenticate their identity but does not provide any additional information. Although MetaMask has not officially confirmed any connection to the website, blockchain analysts and community members indicate that its design and domain structure are consistent with MetaMask's official ecosystem.

This mysterious website holds significant importance in the MetaMask Airdrop speculation. Cryptocurrency projects often set up claim sites weeks or months before officially announcing an airdrop to conduct technical tests and security audits. The password-protected page suggests that the site is not yet ready for public access, but its existence itself has confirmed that some form of token distribution plan is progressing.

The domain structure claim(.)metamask(.)io follows industry-standard naming conventions. The term “claim” clearly indicates that this is a claiming entry, while “metamask(.)io” is one of the official domain names of MetaMask. In contrast, many scam websites use similar but misspelled domains, such as “metmask” or “metamasc”. The authenticity of this domain significantly enhances its credibility.

This discovery aligns with the launch of the points-based loyalty program MetaMask Rewards announced earlier this month, intensifying speculation that the claims page may go live soon. The timing is not coincidental but part of a carefully orchestrated product release sequence. First, the rewards program is introduced to allow users to accumulate points, and then the redemption site is opened at the appropriate time; this strategy is very common in Web3 projects.

300 million USD reward program paves the way for Airdrop

(Source: MetaMask)

In early October, MetaMask launched a $30 million reward program aimed at incentivizing users to participate in on-chain activities. The program allows participants to earn points through token swaps, bridging assets, and other DeFi interactions (especially those conducted on Linea, Consensys's Ethereum Layer 2 network). Industry observers believe that these reward points could serve as a qualification standard for receiving MASK tokens in a potential MetaMask Airdrop.

The budget scale of 30 million USD shows Consensys's emphasis on this plan. This funding may be used for token reserves, operating costs, and incentive mechanisms. If the valuation of the MASK token refers to DeFi projects of similar scale, the 30 million USD may only account for a small portion of the total token supply, indicating that the overall valuation could reach hundreds of millions or even billions of dollars.

MetaMask Rewards Accumulation Method:

Token Exchange: Performing token swaps on MetaMask Swap can earn you points.

Cross-chain bridge: Use MetaMask Bridge to transfer assets to other chains

Linea Interaction: DeFi activities on Consensys's Layer-2 network Linea can earn additional points.

Continuous Activity: Regularly using your wallet for transactions can accumulate loyalty bonuses.

Consensys CEO Joe Lubin previously confirmed that the MetaMask token will arrive “sooner than expected” and called it a step towards decentralization. Lubin described the reward system as “a bridge between the DeFi utility of the wallet and the next phase of decentralization,” further strengthening expectations for the upcoming issuance of the MASK token.

This statement reveals the strategic purpose of the MetaMask Airdrop. Tokens are not only user rewards but also tools for decentralized governance. By distributing tokens to active users, MetaMask can gradually transfer decision-making power from Consensys to the community, achieving true decentralized wallet governance.

Polymarket prediction probability skyrockets from single digits to 35%

(Source: Polymarket)

The probability of MetaMask token issuance this year has also significantly increased in the prediction market. Traders on Polymarket currently estimate that the chance of an Airdrop for MASK before the end of the year is 19%, while the likelihood of issuance in 2025 has soared to 35%, far exceeding previous forecasts. This sharp rise in probability indicates the market's positive reaction to the exposure of reward sites and the CEO's statements.

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market where users place bets on event outcomes with real money, making its predictions often more accurate than traditional polls. A 19% year-end issuance probability means the market believes there is nearly a one in five chance of seeing a MetaMask Airdrop in the next two months. The 35% probability for 2025 indicates that if an issuance does not occur this year, the likelihood of it happening in the first half of next year is very high.

However, not everyone believes that the new claim page signifies an upcoming launch. MetaMask Product Director Christian Montoya stated that the company is “rolling out a new loyalty program” as part of its initial reward phase, but he warned users to be vigilant against phishing attacks. “You no longer have to search social media for some accounts you've never heard of to give you links,” Montoya said. “It will be in the wallet and on our main website.”

This cautious statement is typical of the MetaMask team. Keeping things vague before an official announcement helps manage user expectations and prevents market fluctuations caused by excessive hype. At the same time, reminding users to be wary of phishing sites is a responsible practice, as every major Airdrop tends to trigger a surge in scam activities.

MetaMask evolves into an integrated DeFi super platform

Since the idea of achieving community ownership through governance tokens was first proposed by developers in 2021, rumors about the MetaMask token have persisted. However, to date, despite multiple expansions of the MetaMask ecosystem, from token swaps and bridges to the latest on-chain derivatives trading integration, there has been a consistent avoidance of confirming any specific MetaMask Airdrop plans.

On October 8, the wallet launched MetaMask Perps, a new feature that allows users to trade perpetual futures directly within the application. This release marks the most significant step for MetaMask towards becoming an integrated trading platform, enabling it to compete directly with centralized exchanges. Perpetual contract trading is the largest product category by trading volume in the cryptocurrency market, and MetaMask's entry into this space demonstrates that its ambitions extend beyond mere wallet functionality.

At the same time, the governance discussion in August revealed plans for the development of the local stablecoin MetaMask USD (mUSD) in collaboration with Stripe. The proposed token will operate on the M⁰ network, enabling decentralized issuance and settlement, providing a fiat-backed alternative to existing stablecoins like USDC and USDT. Although the proposal was later withdrawn, insiders confirmed that the project is still under development.

Earlier in the same month, MetaMask also launched a social login feature that allows users to create or restore their wallets using Google or Apple credentials, which is part of a broader effort to simplify the onboarding process while maintaining the principle of self-custody. These product innovations provide stronger narrative support for the MetaMask Airdrop: a fully functional DeFi super application requires a native token to drive its ecosystem.

Linea Airdrop triggers a new wave of distribution

The recent hint from the wallet was made against the backdrop of increasing speculation about Airdrops in the cryptocurrency space. Following Consensys launching the Linea token in September and distributing over 9 billion tokens to eligible users, other major Web3 projects have also followed suit. The decentralized prediction market Polymarket confirmed last week its plan to issue its POLY token through a retrospective Airdrop.

In addition, speculation around the Layer-2 network Base supported by CEX continues, as the network recently hinted at the possibility of exploring a token, despite previously ruling out such an option. This shift occurred after the successful distribution of Linea and has bolstered confidence that a new wave of “Airdrop season” may be on the horizon.

Nevertheless, MetaMask remains one of the most anticipated projects. The wallet has over 30 million monthly active users, and if confirmed, any potential MetaMask Airdrop would become one of the largest events in DeFi history. However, the company has repeatedly emphasized that its reward system is designed for sustainable participation rather than one-time token farming.