市场预期美国2月PCE数据显示通胀高企,美联储4月或维持利率不变

Gate News 消息,4 月 9 日,市场预期美国 2 月 PCE 数据将显示通胀压力持续。根据共识预期,2 月 PCE 环比预期升至 0.4%,同比维持在 2.8%;核心 PCE 同比约 3.0%,高于美联储 2% 的目标水平。市场认为,本轮通胀反弹主要由商品价格回升及能源成本上行推动,服务类通胀短期内难以明显回落。在此背景下,美联储可能在 4 月议息会议上继续维持 3.50%-3.75% 利率区间,这将是连续第三次暂停降息。市场定价显示,当前超过 97% 交易员预期 4 月维持利率不变,年内降息预期降温。

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