QCP:BTC 在 7.4 万美元附近震荡,本周多国央行利率决议成关键

BTC2,41%

Gate News 消息,3 月 18 日,QCP Capital 今日发布市场分析指出,BTC 当前价格维持在约 7.4 万美元附近,处于近期震荡区间内整理,上行动能不足。尽管加密市场整体承压,但相较于其他宏观敏感型风险资产的回撤幅度,跌幅相对可控。链上数据显示,区间低位仍有逢低买入行为,但现货成交量偏低,近期价格走向主要受宏观因素主导。

宏观层面,本周为年内最重要的央行政策周。美联储将于周三公布 3 月议息会议结果,欧洲央行、日本央行及英国央行将于周四相继发布决议。受油价高企影响,市场大幅下调降息预期,利率环境对加密资产的支撑趋于减弱。与此同时,地缘政治风险持续,油价仍在每桶 100 美元附近,市场整体维持滞胀预期。

QCP Capital 指出,BTC 当前既未表现出纯粹的高贝塔风险资产特征,也尚未形成稳定的避险资金流入。在政策路径与地缘局势明朗化之前,区间震荡格局或将延续。

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