期权市场动态
最新数据显示,BTC 隐含波动率(IV)高位维持至 55%,ETH IV 高位维持至 74%;其中 BTC IV 现处于过去一年 91% 高分位附近,反映出期权市场对短期价格波动的预期仍处在近一年高位。
最近一周 BTC 25-Delta Skew 先走阔后收敛,7D 一度下探至约 -15 vol,显示短期 Put 需求阶段性升温;随后快速修复至 -5 vol 附近。30D–90D 基本维持在 -4 至 -6 vol 区间,整体仍为温和负偏结构,说明市场保有下行对冲需求,但未形成持续性悲观定价。
从 GEX 分布看,主峰集中在 3 月 27 日且为显著正 Gamma,说明做市商整体处于正 Gamma 环境,价格更容易被对冲压制,偏向震荡格局。 3 月 13 日附近的负 Gamma 区域时,波动才可能被放大并演变为趋势行情。
大宗交易结构
最近 24 小时 BTC 与 ETH 期权市场中,BTC 和 ETH 最大规模的大宗交易如下:
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BTC:买 BTC-27MAR26-125000-C,共成交约 1,500 BTC,权利金净支出约 10 万美元。
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ETH:买 ETH-13MAR26-1950-P,共成交约 10,000 ETH,权利金净支出约 80 万美元。
期权组合策略可使用 Gate 平台推出的组合下单策略工具进行交易。
平台更新
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期权交易入口:https://www.gate.com/zh/options/BTC_USDT
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