ChainCatcher 消息,预测市场 2 月总交易量录得 234 亿美元,较 1 月创纪录的 271 亿美元下滑约 12%,终结连续五个月升势,为 2025 年 8 月以来首次月度下跌。跌势主要由 BNB Chain 平台 Opinion 拖累,其交易量从逾 100 亿美元急挫至 31 亿美元。值得注意的是,Opinion 的数据真实性此前已受外界质疑。
与此同时,各平台表现分化。Kalshi 交易量升至98亿美元的历史新高,进一步巩固行业龙头地位;Polymarket则小幅增长,从 77 亿美元升至 79 亿美元。
预测市场近年已从小众工具发展为主流金融应用,广泛用于选举及经济指标等事件预测。
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