加密貨幣市場昨(25)日晚間罕見上演「報復性反彈」,單日市值暴增逾 1,700 億美元,市場傳聞有指,這波凌厲漲勢並非單純的技術性反彈,而是長期籠罩市場的「隱形賣壓」突然退場。分析師認為,隨著華爾街量化交易巨頭 Jane Street 捲入內線交易官司,該公司「每天固定時間砸盤」的自動化交易程式疑似被迫暫停,數月來壓制盤勢的賣壓一夕消失,這才得以點燃久違的暴力反彈。
根據 CoinGecko 數據顯示,全球加密貨幣總市值單日大漲約 8%,直逼 2.5 兆美元大關。其中,比特幣一度衝破 6.9 萬美元,以太幣飆漲逾 13%,而 Solana(SOL)的漲幅更超過 15%,市場氛圍明顯轉暖。
這波強勁的漲勢,恰巧伴隨著一個「幣圈魔咒」的破滅:原先幾乎每天到了美東時間上午 10 點(台北時間晚上 11 點)就會準時出現的龐大倒貨潮,卻在 Jane Street 遭控涉及內線交易後突然中斷。
幣圈評論員 Bark 在社群平台 X 上指出:「Jane Street 過去幾個月來,每天早上 10 點都透過演算法準時砸盤。」
日復一日,無情地打壓幣價、引發散戶強制平倉,然後再逢低買回。但在他們被起訴後,這種行為就停止了。「10 點砸盤」的現象隨之消失,比特幣也迎來數月來表現最好的一天。
鏈上數據分析師 Nonzee 也持相同看法:「幾個月來,早上 10 點就只意味著一件事:Jane Street 要倒貨了。昨天,他們因內線交易被告;今天早上 10 點呢?比特幣不僅沒跌,反而直線狂飆。」
儘管目前並沒有公開的實質證據,能證明 Jane Street 確實在每天固定時間進行系統性拋售,但這波反彈的時機點太過巧合,已在幣圈社群掀起熱烈討論。
這場引爆幣圈話題的訴訟,是由 Terraform Labs 的破產清算人於本周稍早正式提出。據《華爾街日報》報導,訴狀指控 Jane Street 利用從 Terraform Labs 內部取得的未公開資訊,在市場崩潰前進行內線交易牟利。
回顧 2022 年,Terra-Luna 的「死亡螺旋」慘劇,被廣泛視為引爆隨後漫長加密貨幣寒冬的關鍵導火線。而將時間拉回近期,比特幣在去年 10 月創下突破 12 萬美元的歷史天價後便一路溜滑梯,甚至一度跌破 6.5 萬美元的波段低點,直到本周才出現明顯反彈。
針對這股「撥雲見日」的市場氣氛,彭博資深 ETF 分析師 Eric Balchunas 在 X 平台上形容:「大魔王(The bogeyman)消失了。這就是目前幣圈社群和今天價格走勢所傳達出的氛圍。」
但同時,他也拋出了一個值得深思的問題:
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