2月28日消息，以太坊价格目前在1,950美元附近震荡，过去24小时下跌约4%，接近七日区间下沿。过去一个月，ETH累计跌幅达35%，较历史高点4,946美元仍低约60%。日成交额约225亿美元，较前一日下降四分之一，市场参与度明显降温，资金态度趋于谨慎。
链上分析师Darkfost指出，衍生品市场的买卖比率正在发生微妙变化。此前在ETH冲高阶段，期货买卖比率长期低于1，月度读数一度降至0.95，周均值跌至0.92，显示卖方持续占优，并放大价格回调压力。随着期货成交量维持在约650亿美元水平，衍生品方向对现货价格具有显著影响。
近期数据显示，该比率逐步回升至1附近，多次出现高于1.12的日线峰值，反映出主动买盘增强。月度读数回升至0.99左右，供需失衡状况较此前缓解。若买卖比率稳定在1上方，意味着多头在短期期货仓位中取得主动权，有助于以太坊价格企稳。
技术面上，ETH自跌破3,000美元后持续形成更低高点与更低低点，趋势仍偏空。当前价格运行于布林带中轨下方，中轨位于1,980至2,000美元区域，构成短线阻力。布林带此前大幅扩张后开始收敛，显示波动率回落。RSI已从25-30的超卖区间反弹至约40，动能略有修复，但尚未确认趋势反转。
关键支撑位位于1,850至1,880美元区间，若跌破，或下探1,700至1,750美元区域。上方首个压力在2,000美元，其后为2,120至2,200美元强阻区。对于关注以太坊价格走势分析和ETH技术面信号的投资者而言，买卖比率与成交量变化，将成为判断是否出现阶段性拐点的重要指标。
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