美国1月通胀「高烧」难退,PPI 超预期反弹,降息预期遭压制

BlockBeats 消息,2 月 27 日,美国劳工统计局公布数据显示,1 月生产者价格指数(PPI)环比上涨 0.5%,高于市场预期的 0.3%,亦高于 2025 年 12 月的 0.4%;同比上涨 2.9%,高于预期的 2.6%。数据表明上游通胀压力仍具韧性。

剔除食品、能源及贸易服务的核心 PPI 环比上涨 0.3%,符合预期,但同比升至 3.4%,高于市场预期的 3%。结构上看,能源价格有所回落,其中汽油批发价格环比下降 5.5%,同比跌幅达 15.7%;服务批发价格上涨及零售商、批发商利润率扩张成为主要推升因素。

此前公布的 1 月 CPI 同比上涨 2.4%,接近美联储 2% 目标,但 PPI 的超预期走强强化了通胀粘性担忧,或使美联储在降息路径上保持谨慎。

数据公布后,国际现货黄金自高位小幅回落,随后收复部分跌幅。市场人士指出,PPI 中部分分项(尤其是医疗保健与金融服务)将传导至美联储更为关注的 PCE 物价指数,后续数据表现将成为利率预期的重要参考。

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