国际货币基金组织向日本发出三重警示

Odaily星球日报讯 国际货币基金组织(IMF)2 月 17 日发布报告,警示日本政府应保持日本央行独立性,控制财政扩张,避免以削减消费税方式应对民生问题。这一报告发布恰逢日本首相指名选举之际。据悉,市场密切关注高市早苗是否会反对央行进一步加息,以及高市此前提出的为期两年的“食品消费税归零”承诺。货币政策方面,IMF 指出,日本央行保持独立性与公信力,有助于稳定通胀预期,并表示日本央行“应继续退出货币宽松,使政策利率在 2027 年达到中性利率水平”。财政政策方面,IMF 认为,短期内财政政策不宜进一步宽松。这一点与高市提出的“负责任的积极财政”相悖。IMF 认为,日本目前虽有一定财政空间,但仍需保持财政克制,以稳固财政缓冲、维持应对冲击的能力。IMF 预测,长期看日本政府财政赤字将扩大,支出压力将增加,公共债务总额将进一步增长。(金十)

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