PANews 2月16日消息,Matrixport 发布每日分析表示,判断比特币是否进入熊市,一个常见观察是:30 日内的大幅下跌是否更频繁地出现。在牛市阶段,30 日内跌超 20% 相对少见;而在熊市阶段,这类下跌更容易反复发生。与此同时,市场动能早在 2025 年年中就已走弱:从 30 日变化率(rate of change,ROC)看,上行峰值持续走低,买盘推动力也在同步减退。
经验丰富的加密投资者都明白,熊市是周期中自然且反复出现的一部分,也往往会为下一轮修复与上行创造条件。只是熊市通常不会一路单边下行,即使在更大的下跌趋势中,也常会出现力度可观的阶段性反弹。因此,投资者应保持纪律,并随着市场条件变化,持续寻找更具性价比的阶段性机会。
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