2月14日消息,随着加密市场出现短线修复,Solana(SOL)在周五反弹约10%,一度突破85美元关口,并重新站上关键的80美元区域。过去一周,SOL在78至88美元区间内震荡,上周回调期间最低触及67美元。此次回升被视为对近期跌破支撑位的技术性修复。
市场观察机构 Daan Crypto Trades 指出,80美元在历史上多次扮演重要支撑与阻力角色,能否守住该位置,是判断短线结构是否转强的关键。分析师 Ali Martinez 认为,若买盘延续,价格有望测试88美元这一短期阻力位。突破后,或将为重新挑战90至96美元区间创造条件,该区域对应2025年4月的前低。
从更高周期看,Crypto Batman 提到,SOL正在周线图上回测一条已运行近两年的下降趋势线。该趋势线自2024年初以来多次被验证,每次触及后都出现阶段性反转。最近一次发生在2025年第二季度,并带动了随后一个季度的反弹。
不过,市场并非一致看多。Altcoin Sherpa 警告称,若价格再度跌破77至78美元区间,下一个重要支撑可能在约51美元,甚至不排除向50美元靠拢的风险。他强调,在跌破200周指数移动平均线和去年关键低点后,SOL仍处于脆弱结构中。
Crypto Bullet 则认为,当前市场仍在派发阶段,短期内回到120美元上方并不现实。他的周期模型显示,Solana 的潜在底部区域可能在40美元附近。多空分歧加剧,显示出SOL正处于关键方向选择阶段。
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