比特币价格今日持续走低，盘中一度跌破73,000美元关口，最低触及72,884美元，创下2024年美国大选后新低。根据 crypto.news 数据，BTC 24小时跌幅约3.55%，较2025年10月126,080美元的历史高点回撤近40%。多重宏观与市场因素叠加，成为此次下行的核心背景。
首先，货币政策预期转向更为强硬。美国总统特朗普提名 Kevin Warsh 为下一任美联储主席，引发市场对长期高利率环境的担忧。Warsh 被视为偏鹰派人物，可能延续紧缩立场，促使资金撤离比特币等高风险资产。同时，美国与伊朗关系紧张、全球贸易摩擦再度升温，避险资金流向黄金和白银，比特币“数字黄金”属性短期内未能发挥作用。
其次，技术面与衍生品市场加剧了抛压。BTC 跌破 75,000 美元后，触发大规模止损与强平。仅过去24小时，加密市场多头被清算超过5.25亿美元，其中比特币占2.14亿美元，形成连锁式卖压。与此同时，现货比特币ETF资金流明显降温。SoSoValue 数据显示，近三个月相关产品净流出超过60亿美元，机构风险偏好明显回落。
此外，市场正等待关键的美国劳动力数据。即将公布的非农就业和失业率将影响美联储的利率路径。若数据强劲，美元走强，可能继续压制比特币；若疲软，则可能为风险资产带来喘息空间。
Komodo Platform 首席技术官 Kadan Stadelmann 指出，在恐慌情绪和宏观不确定性延续的情况下，比特币不排除测试更低区间，但他也认为，机构参与与长期基本面仍为BTC提供重要支撑。
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