机构前瞻美联储利率决议:预计维持利率不变

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Odaily星球日报讯 以下为机构对美联储利率决议的预测,都认为美联储本次将维持利率不变:

  1. 麦格理:预计维持利率不变,失业率下降将指引美联储按兵不动。

  2. 高盛:预计维持利率不变,美联储将仅对其货币政策立场进行小幅调整。

  3. 野村证券:预计维持利率不变。政策指引将继续表明未来降息的门槛会更高。

  4. 牛津经济:预计维持利率不变。今年经济增长将会改善,美联储将维持政策不变直至 6 月。

  5. 花旗银行:预计维持利率不变。真正重要的信号将来自鲍威尔的语气,尤其是他为未来降息敞开的大门程度。

  6. 巴克莱:预计维持利率不变,就业与通胀数据组合不支持立刻继续降息,FOMC 需要时间评估近期降息的影响。

  7. 荷兰合作银行:预计维持利率不变。委员会多数成员认为,去年年底实施的三次保险性降息已经足够。

  8. 摩根大通:预计维持利率不变。劳动力市场并未快速恶化,近期失业率的企稳最终应该会让 FOMC 达成共识按兵不动。

  9. 摩根士丹利:预计维持利率不变。预计声明将把经济增长预期从“温和”上调至“稳健”,将删除有关“就业下行风险增加”的措辞。

  10. KBC:预计维持利率不变。劳动力市场的下行风险有所缓解,实际 GDP 预期增长,这两个因素共同降低了 1 月会议降息的必要性。(金十)

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