加密貨幣市場投資情緒出現明顯轉折。歷經長達 3 個月的保守與觀望後，市場風向正式從「恐懼」轉為「貪婪」。這是自去年 10 月以來，投資人首次重拾多頭情緒。
根據 Alternative.me 數據，廣受市場關注的「加密貨幣恐懼與貪婪指數（Crypto Fear & Greed Index）」今（15）日升至「61 分（滿分 100）」，正式進入「貪婪」區間。就在前一日，該指數仍停留在「48 分」的中性水平；而在此前數週，市場情緒則長期徘徊在「恐懼」甚至「極度恐懼」區間。
回顧這段低迷期的起點，是去年 10 月 11 日慘絕人寰的「清算大屠殺」，單日高達 190 億美元 的衍生品部位慘遭平倉，重創市場信心，競爭幣集體崩跌，也讓投資人紛紛撤離、進入「避險」模式。
在隨後的 11 月與 12 月，該指數曾多次下探至個位數與雙位數邊緣，反映出當時市場處於極度恐慌、噤若寒蟬的狀態。
近期市場情緒翻轉與比特幣的走勢幾乎同步。在過去短短 7 天內，比特幣從 89,800 美元一路過關斬將，並在今日凌晨站上 97,704 美元、創下 2 個月新高，成功穩住市場軍心。
值得注意的是，恐懼與貪婪指數屬於情緒參考指標，而非操作訊號。從歷史經驗來看，「極度恐懼」往往出現在市場接近觸底時；至於長時間維持在「極度貪婪」，則多伴隨行情接近高點。
目前指數來到「61 分」，雖然代表風險胃口明顯提升，但尚未達到過去牛市頂峰時常見的「極度亢奮」狀態（指數超過 80 分）。
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