Odaily星球日报讯 加密分析师 Willy Woo 在 X 平台发文表示看涨比特币在 1 月下旬至 2 月的表现,因为目前内部投资者流量模型显示市场在去年 12 月末触底后稳步走强,但价格通常需要 2-3 周来反映这一变化。此外,期货市场的衍生品流动性在沉寂数月后正在回归,类似于 2021 年中期的情况,当时导致了上一个周期的第二次顶部。现阶段,比特币需要挑战 9.8 万美元至 10 万美元的价格区间,如果突破该水平则需观察历史最高点(ATH)的阻力位表现。
不过,Willy Woo 仍然看跌 2026 全年,因为从更宏观的角度来看,自 2025 年 1 月以来流动性流量相对于价格动能一直在减弱,若未来数月出现大量现货流动性涌入以打破下降趋势,可能会改变他的看法。目前熊市尚未得到确认,其标志是比特币的负向资金流出不断增加,这是周期顶部的一个滞后指标。
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