BlockBeats 消息，12 月 21 日，以太坊创始人 Vitalik Buterin 在 Farcaster 发文表示，预测市场是应对情绪化话题上疯狂观点的良药，并使用两个截图举例：马斯克此前发帖称英国内战「不可避免」，而预测市场 Polymarket 上「2024 年英国会发生内战吗？」市场中只有 3% 的概率（Vitalik 认为 3% 仍过高，因部分押注者下注拉高概率）。Vitalik 称社交媒体上很多用户夸张地声称「某件事肯定会发生」以制造恐慌或吸引注意力，但并不为此负责；而预测市场则有真金白银的押注，更趋向于反映真实概率，能对抗这些「疯狂观点」。Vitalik 随后详细阐述了对预测市场的总体看法：相比社交媒体（制造恐慌无需负责）和主流媒体（标题党），预测市场更有「求真」激励。说真话能获得真实奖励，说谎则有很强的经济惩罚。在发现夸张新闻后查询 Polymarket 发现概率极低，可以令人冷静，反之也能避免虚假希望。预测市场是社交媒体的「解药」，能提供更理性、更有责任感的公众意见聚合方式。
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