观点:美联储不会为特朗普大打贸易战救场

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Odaily星球日报讯 “末日博士”鲁里埃尔·鲁比尼对华尔街发出了新的警讯:交易员应该减少对美联储会加大降息力度来缓解总统特朗普所发动贸易战影响的押注。 因准确预测到全球金融危机而被称为“末日博士”的著名经济学家鲁比尼此次认为,美国将躲过衰退,在关税相关政策争端缓和后,美联储今年剩余时间将维持利率不变。“这当然是一场特朗普底和鲍威尔底之间的硬碰硬,”鲁比尼说,“但我要说的是鲍威尔底的行权价将低于特朗普底,这意味着鲍威尔会等到特朗普先眨眼。” 美联储主席鲍威尔上周表示新关税带来的经济影响可能远超预期,央行必须确保这不会引发愈加严重的通胀问题。本周交易员消化了美联储降息三到五次、每次 25 个基点的预期,华尔街甚至有人认为央行可能会在下次会议前紧急下调利率。(金十)

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