After the weekly settlement, BTC surged significantly and has approached $74,000, nearing the upper band of the consolidation range since February.


The options market has shown a lukewarm response. The implied volatility of BTC doomsday options remains below 50%, and ETH doomsday options' implied volatility remains below 70%, both lower than the implied volatility of major maturities.
In terms of trading volume, large bullish options trades account for less than 30% of total volume, concentrated in shallow out-of-the-money contracts at month-end. For a 5% price movement, this is relatively low. The options market has not priced this rally well. VRP has rebounded but has not turned positive; the market still believes volatility is overestimated.
Currently, the consolidation range has not been effectively broken. If the market can break through $75,000 over the weekend during thin liquidity conditions and successfully break out of the consolidation range, then follow-up rallies could materialize. However, the difficulty is immense.
BTC1.49%
ETH2.26%
查看原文
此頁面可能包含第三方內容,僅供參考(非陳述或保證),不應被視為 Gate 認可其觀點表述,也不得被視為財務或專業建議。詳見聲明
  • 讚賞
  • 留言
  • 轉發
  • 分享
留言
請輸入留言內容
請輸入留言內容
暫無留言