Giáng lãi suất: Ngân hàng trung ương New Zealand có thể giảm lãi suất trong tháng 8

The Royal Bank of Canada expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to start lowering the official cash rate (OCR) in August, as the second-quarter inflation data showed unexpected easing of price pressure. The bank had previously suggested a rate cut in October. The Royal Bank of Canada expects that the labor market data for the second quarter, to be released on August 7th, will show further increase in unemployment rate, which will provide more justification for easing policies next month. In addition, the Royal Bank of Canada expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to cut the OCR by 50 basis points in the fourth quarter and raise it by another 50 basis points in the first quarter of 2025. This means that the OCR will stay at 4.25%, while the terminal interest rate previously predicted by the Royal Bank is 4.50%.