I'm not very good at guessing the macro trends, like whether the expectations of interest rate cuts, the US dollar index, and risk assets should all rise or fall together. Honestly, I can't really figure it out... But when liquidity dries up, even the most promising "opportunities" on the chart can turn into traps. Recently, watching the funding rates and the basis between futures and spot prices fluctuate up and down, I can tell everyone's sentiment is very volatile.
My current rule is: survive first, then talk about bottom-fishing. Reduce your positions first, avoid using leverage if you can
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