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#加密市场行情震荡 Hacker Month Deals a Heavy Blow to DeFi, BTC Struggles to Hold Its Position Amid Fear, Is There Still a Future for the Crypto Market?
April 25th, the crypto market remains in a state of low volatility and high fear as it consolidates sideways. BTC hovers around $77,656 with narrow fluctuations, contract trading volume plummeted over 20% in a single day, signaling clear deleveraging. Meanwhile, April has become the most severe hacker month since February 2025—KelpDAO ($292 million) and Drift Protocol ($285 million) were attacked successively by North Korea’s Lazarus Group, with total
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ETH0,22%
SOL0,74%
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#加密市场行情震荡 BTC weekend volatility at 77k, fear index at 31, is it a rebound or further decline?
1. Market Status
Fear and greed index at 31, three consecutive days in the fear zone. BTC has retraced from the 80k level at the start of the week down to 77k, a nearly 4% drop. ETH follows suit, falling from 2390 to 2310, the dream of 2500 shattered. Altcoins are even more tragic, everywhere in the green.
2. Key Levels for BTC
77k is the current support and resistance boundary. Above 79.5k is the 30-day high; standing firm here is needed to talk about a rebound. Below 76.5k is the 24-hour low; break
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#OpenAI发布GPT-5.5 From "Chatting" to "Getting Work Done": What Exactly Has GPT-5.5 Changed
To understand why GPT-5.5 is different, you first need to clarify what problems it is actually solving.
Past large models, even GPT-5.4, are essentially "advanced question-answering machines." You ask it a question, and it gives you an answer. For slightly more complex tasks, you have to break down the steps yourself, feed in materials, and check each step's output for correctness.
The model is smart, but in practice, it acts like an intern who needs full supervision.
GPT-5.5's positioning has com
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#OpenAI发布GPT-5.5 From "Chatting" to "Getting Work Done": What Exactly Has GPT-5.5 Changed
To understand why GPT-5.5 is different, you first need to clarify what problems it is actually solving.
Past large models, even GPT-5.4, are essentially "advanced question-answering machines." You ask it a question, and it gives you an answer. For slightly more complex tasks, you have to break down steps yourself, feed in materials, and check each step's output for correctness. The model is smart, but when it comes to doing work, it acts like an intern who needs full supervision.
GPT-5.5's positioning has completely changed. OpenAI emphasizes four key words this time: understanding goals, breaking down steps, calling tools, and closed-loop delivery. If you give it a vague requirement, it will plan how to do it, decide which tools to use, check intermediate results, and finally deliver the completed work. A typical example comes from OpenAI’s finance team’s real workflow. They had GPT-5.5 review 1M-1 tax forms, totaling 71,637 pages, and finished two weeks earlier than previous years. This isn’t just "answering a tax question," but taking over an entire repetitive, low-tolerance, long-cycle business process.
Another case better illustrates the point. Pietro Schirano, CEO of startup MagicPath, used GPT-5.5 to merge a branch containing hundreds of frontend and refactoring changes into the main branch, completing the entire process in just 20 minutes and resolving all conflicts at once. His later comment was: "I really feel like I’m working with a higher intelligence."
The core breakthrough of GPT-5.5 isn’t just an improvement in a single capability, but the stitching together of "understanding—planning—executing—checking" into a stable pipeline.
In the past, models’ biggest flaw was drift—losing track of what they were supposed to do halfway through or gradually distorting in details. GPT-5.5’s output consistency, format stability, and logical coherence over long workflows have clearly advanced to a new level.
What does GPT-5.5 mean for ordinary users?
The most immediate change is in interaction style.
Previously, using AI was more like looking up information—you ask a question, it answers. Now, with GPT-5.5, it’s more like assigning tasks—you describe what you want, and it figures out how to do it itself.
Reports from Cursor and Windsurf teams indicate that GPT-5.5 performs significantly better than GPT-5.4 in handling ambiguity and long-term tasks. CodeRabbit’s evaluation even specifically mentions that GPT-5.5 is more "restrained" during code reviews, more inclined to point out issues that truly affect deployment rather than general comments.
Internal data from OpenAI also shows the depth of this shift. Over 85% of employees use Codex across departments weekly, with 95% of engineers using it daily. An internal project produced 1 million lines of code in five months, all generated by Codex, with no manual coding. Finance, marketing, and PR teams are also using it for daily workflows, saving 5 to 10 hours of work weekly through automation. Jensen Huang even called on all NVIDIA employees to use GPT-5.5-based Codex in an all-hands email, saying: "Let’s jump to light speed. Welcome to the era of artificial intelligence."
Considering GPT-5.5 was co-designed with NVIDIA’s GB200, GB300, and NVL72 systems, with training and deployment tightly integrated between model and hardware, this endorsement isn’t just politeness. The joint design means hardware architecture has been deeply customized by algorithms, with chip design directions, architecture optimizations, and performance bottlenecks all aligned with GPT-5.5’s capabilities. But that doesn’t mean it can be "left to run." Multiple third-party evaluations note that GPT-5.5 relies more heavily on task boundaries. If requirements are unclear, it won’t proactively fill in gaps but will execute based on existing information.
This "obedience" can be an advantage in some scenarios, but a limitation in others. It’s more like an experienced professional who needs a clear brief rather than an all-knowing but unpredictable butler. AI engineer Peter Gostev’s in-depth experience report states that while GPT-5.5 can operate stably for at least 7 hours autonomously, if initial steps aren’t clearly defined, mid-process corrections aren’t cheap. Startup CEO Dan Shipper did a comparison experiment: he asked a top engineer to fix a bug in an app, then gave the same code to GPT-5.4, which couldn’t reproduce the engineer’s solution. But GPT-5.5 succeeded. Shipper said it was the first time he truly felt "conceptual clarity" in a programming model—not just parroting but understanding the problem and figuring out how to solve it himself.
If you’re considering how to use GPT-5.5 in your work, you might start with these scenarios:
Programming and development: end-to-end code refactoring, cross-file bug fixing, test completion, especially suitable for projects with complex codebases
Data analysis: handling large document collections, generating structured reports, integrating multiple data sources
Knowledge work: transforming chaotic business inputs into executable plans, assisting research and literature review
Workflow automation: reviewing大量重复性文档、处理格式化表格和税表类工作
OpenAI returns to the center stage, but the game is far from over.
The release of GPT-5.5 has indeed allowed OpenAI to reclaim the top spot in AI comprehensive rankings. On the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, GPT-5.5 scored 60, ending the deadlock with Claude Opus 4.7 and Gemini 3.1 Pro. OpenAI took four of the top six spots. But how long this "number one" lasts depends on several variables.
First is price. GPT-5.5 is more expensive, while DeepSeek V4 launched on the same day with open-source and low-cost strategies, offering a "universal" approach. For small and medium enterprises and individual developers, the 26-fold API price difference is significant. OpenAI needs to find a new balance between "high-end closed source" and "broad accessibility."
Second is safety. GPT-5.5’s stronger autonomous execution capabilities mean that if misused, risks are amplified. Automated exploits, code generation attacks, information gathering—these potential threats become more realistic as the model becomes more capable. OpenAI is also pushing traceability tech like C2PA metadata watermarks, but product lead Adele Li previously admitted that metadata "is not a panacea," as screenshots, cropping, and platform compression can disable watermarks.
Third is the pace of competition. On the night of GPT-5.5’s release, Anthropic coincidentally published a report admitting that Claude’s performance had declined due to product adjustments and that it had been fixed. This "counter-move" indicates that the gap between top models is narrowing, and any lead may be temporary.
Some users also found that on several benchmark datasets not shown on OpenAI’s official blog, Claude Opus 4.7 still leads, meaning the claim of "comprehensive dominance" isn’t entirely accurate.
Returning to a fundamental question: will GPT-5.5 cause ordinary people to lose their jobs?
In the short term, probably not. It can indeed handle many tasks rated 80 to 90 points independently, but tasks requiring 100 points, deep strategic judgment, or involving creativity and emotional connection still need humans. What’s truly changing is the significantly lowered barrier to turning ideas into results.
Previously, you needed to learn programming, data analysis, or PowerPoint skills; now, you just need to clearly articulate what you want. Future competitiveness depends less on whether you can use AI tools and more on whether you have ideas worth executing by AI. The more powerful the tools, the more valuable your ideas become.
This transformation sparked by GPT-5.5 isn’t about eliminating people but about replacing "just executing" work. When AI can write your code, fill out spreadsheets, review tax forms, the only thing you can’t be replaced in is the ability to decide "what" and "why."
What’s your view? Will GPT-5.5 make you more willing to pay for AI, or will you prefer open-source solutions? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments.
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#WCTC交易王PK
WCTC Gameplay Strategy
1. Choose the right opponent: Don't focus solely on the return rate, watch "Position Fluctuations"
Many people only look at the opponent's return rate, but actually, opponents who frequently open and close positions in the last 30 minutes are the easy targets—emotional trading is common, making it easier to chase highs and sell lows.
Practical tip: Click on the opponent's avatar to see "Trade Frequency"; if they make more than 3 trades per minute, choose them for a match.
2. Control your position size: No more than 20% of your principal per trade
WCTC is a wi
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#英特尔与德州仪器大涨 Financial reports and price increases resonate, CPUs undergo a revaluation of their value
Intel and Texas Instruments consecutively deliver better-than-expected financial results, driving stock prices higher. At the same time, the CPU giants signal price hikes, and the structural transformation in computing demand is pushing processors to a new strategic height.
unsetunsetBetter-than-expected financial reports
unsetunsetThe two major giants have impressive performance.
Intel Q1 revenue of $13.58 billion, up 7.2% year-over-year, earnings per share of $0.29, far exceeding the
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#英特尔与德州仪器大涨 Financial reports and price increases resonate, CPUs usher in a revaluation of value
Intel and Texas Instruments consecutively deliver better-than-expected financial results, driving stock prices higher. At the same time, the two CPU giants signal price hikes, and the structural transformation of computing demand is pushing processors to a new strategic height.
unsetunsetFinancial reports surpass expectations
unsetunsetThe performance of the two major giants is impressive.
Intel's Q1 revenue was $13.58 billion, up 7.2% year-over-year, with earnings per share of $0.29, far exceeding the expected $0.01; data center and AI business revenue reached $5.1 billion, a 22% surge, with after-hours stock soaring nearly 20%, and an annual increase of over 80%.
Texas Instruments' revenue in the same period was $4.83 billion, up 19%, with earnings per share of $1.68, and data center business skyrocketed about 90%, industrial sector increased 30%, with the stock price jumping nearly 19% in a single day, setting a 25-year record.
unsetunsetCPU price hike wave: price transmission under supply and demand imbalance
unsetunsetBehind the performance, CPUs are experiencing a comprehensive price increase. Since March, consumer-grade CPUs have risen 5%-10%, server CPUs 10%-20%. For example, the Core i5-14600KF price increased from 1,500 yuan to 1,650 yuan, a 10% rise; Ryzen 7 9800X3D from 4,300 yuan to 4,650 yuan, an 8.1% increase; the fifth-generation Xeon 6530 from 8,000 yuan to 9,000 yuan, a 12.5% increase.
Major manufacturers are also brewing a new round of price hikes: Intel may have an 8%-10% increase in the second half of the year, AMD plans two rounds of price adjustments in Q2 and Q3, with a total server CPU price increase of 16%-17%. Delivery lead times have also extended from the normal 1-2 weeks to 8-12 weeks, with some models taking up to 6 months, and capacity is under high pressure.
unsetunsetThree main driving forces
unsetunsetThis wave of price increases is not a short-term imbalance but a superposition of three major trends.
Structural shift in AI demand.
Applications are shifting from training to intelligent agent deployment, making CPU scheduling increasingly critical. During training, CPU-to-GPU ratio is 1:4 to 1:8; in inference scenarios, it is evolving toward 1:1 or even 1:2, meaning CPU demand will multiply under the same GPU scale.
Capacity squeeze from advanced process nodes.
Next-generation CPUs all adopt 3nm process technology, competing for the same capacity as AI chips and GPUs. Foundries are fully booked, and supply-side response in the short term is difficult.
Strategic layout by manufacturers.
Intel has invested $14.2 billion to buy back a 49% stake in an Irish wafer factory, widely seen as a key move to lock in capacity early and prepare for explosive CPU demand.
Outlook
unsetunsetThe intertwining of better-than-expected earnings and ongoing price hike signals points to a clear trend: in the Agentic AI era, CPUs have shifted from auxiliary roles to the core of computing architecture scheduling and value anchoring. Upstream design companies’ bargaining power is strengthening, while downstream manufacturers face structural cost increases. Securing capacity early has become urgent. The revaluation of CPU value may just be beginning, and the tight supply-demand pattern will persist throughout the entire upgrade cycle.
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#WCTC交易王PK WCTC Competition Experience and Strategy Summary
1. Tournament Features
WCTC S8 is a global cryptocurrency trading competition hosted by Gate, with a total prize pool of up to 8 million USDT. The competition format includes:
1 Team Competition: Emphasizes collaboration and joint risk management
2 Individual Competition: Tests technical analysis and psychological resilience
3 1v1 Champion PK: A contest of speed and precise execution
4 Two-Stage System: Each stage lasts two weeks, with resets in between, giving participants a chance to adjust strategies
2. Core Compe
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#WCTC交易王PK WCTC Competition Experience and Strategy Summary
1. Competition Format Features
WCTC S8 is a global cryptocurrency trading contest hosted by Gate, with a total prize pool of up to 8 million USDT. The competition format includes:
1 Team Competition: Emphasizes collaboration and joint risk management
2 Individual Competition: Tests technical analysis and psychological resilience
3 1v1 Champion PK: A contest of speed and precise execution
4 Two-Stage System: Each stage lasts two weeks, with a reset in the middle, giving participants a chance to adjust strategies
2. Core Competition Strategies
1. Focus on a single advantageous strategy
Top players all emphasize "one strategy, one asset, one cycle"
2 Avoid frequent strategy switching, focus on repeatable winning methods
For example: focus on breakout strategies, liquidity sweep + FVG entries, etc.
3 Aggressive risk management
The competition aims for percentage returns; conservative approaches struggle to place highly
Top players often experience 20-50% drawdowns before winning
It is recommended to risk 1-2% per trade, but can be moderately increased when opportunities are confirmed
4 Psychological discipline takes precedence over technical indicators
Avoid emotional trading (chasing gains, revenge trading, over-leverage)
5 Stay mentally clear, choose to observe when not in good condition
6 Keep a trading journal and conduct in-depth reviews of mistakes
3. Practical Skills
1 Early entry: The earlier you register, the more early bird rewards you can get (such as an 800k USDT prize pool share, 20 USDT experience coupons)
2 Build a team: The top 30 team leaders can receive a 3,000 USDT team prize pool
3 Trading volume target: Achieving 3,000 USDT trading volume weekly or inviting friends can earn extra rewards
4 Multi-asset allocation: Use spot, ETF, futures, and other tools to diversify strategies
4. Common Pitfalls
1 Strategy jumping: Frequently changing strategies is a major taboo for beginners
2 Overtrading: Emotion-driven overtrading quickly depletes capital
3 Ignoring review: Without systematic review, it’s hard to develop repeatable advantages; set daily/weekly maximum loss limits
5. Recommended Preparation Process
1. First verify strategy effectiveness on a demo account
2. Establish clear trading rules and entry conditions
3. Set daily/weekly maximum loss limits
4. Maintain regular routines during the competition, avoid fatigue trading
Risk warning: Trading competitions amplify the risk of losses. Only participate with funds you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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#rsETH攻击事件后续进展 Is the old path of DeFi no longer viable? Behind the hundred-billion-dollar withdrawals: people are seeking more security
The security risks of DeFi have long gone beyond smart contract vulnerabilities. After major hacking attacks, the most common misconception is to attribute all incidents solely to smart contract code flaws.
The event where the Drift protocol lost about $285 million precisely proves that this view is outdated. Chain analysis firm Chainalysis revealed that the attack stemmed from permission abuse, administrator pre-signature operation vulnerabilities, false c
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#ETH链Meme币FLORK拉升 Currently, the ETH chain is still supported and driven by ASTEROID, and the concept does not yet support large-scale development. This wave has only two possible directions: one is that Space Dog continues to break through, reaching an epic level with a market cap of over 1 billion. During this period, old projects are resurrecting every day, retail PVP is casually sipping soup, similar to the gameplay on BSC before.
The second is hoping for a new project to break through and break the deadlock, preferably one with ample room for derivatives to play a significant role, ful
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#加密市场行情震荡 The crypto market is once again experiencing intense volatility! After previously hovering at high levels, Bitcoin officially dropped below the key threshold of $78,000 today. The short-term trend is unpredictable, with sharp price swings within 24 hours. Coupled with negative macroeconomic news, market panic is spreading. Both bulls and bears are facing a "double-sided squeeze," and a large-scale capital escape is underway.
First, here is the most direct real-time Bitcoin price data (as of the time of writing), with each set of data hitting the market's pain points:
24H high: $
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#美伊谈判陷入僵局 The confrontation between Iran and the U.S. directly triggered an epic global oil supply crisis, with alarming data:
Strait transportation plummeted: In early April, the average daily shipment was only 3.8 million barrels, an 81% drop from 20 million barrels in February, with some dates completely halted;
Global supply sharply decreased: In March, global oil supply fell to 97 million barrels per day, a decrease of 10.1 million barrels per day from the previous month, marking the largest single-month decline in history;
Exporting countries reducing production/stopping: Kuwait de
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#WCTC交易赛瓜分800万USDT 🏆 WCTC S8 Team Competition Kicks Off
Highest prize pool of $3,600,000
⚔️ The game is divided into the first and second halves
📈 Compete in team trading volume + profit rankings
🔄 Each half has an independent ranking, data resets and continues to climb the leaderboard
👥 A team can be formed with 1 captain + 4 members
💰 Reward distribution
Captain gets 20% exclusive
Top 10 members share 40%
Remaining members share 40%
📍 A single person's trading volume within the team ≥ $20,000 can qualify for the leaderboard
Form a team now and aim for the top!
https://www.gate.co
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#Arbitrum冻结KelpDAO黑客ETH Recently, the Arbitrum Security Council pulled off a major move—freezing 30,766 ETH stolen from KelpDAO, worth about $77 million.
At first glance, this looks like a good thing. The hacker’s funds are locked up, and victims’ prospects of getting their assets back are greatly improved. With law enforcement involvement and on-chain governance responses, a complete asset-recovery path is taking shape.
But flip this coin over, and the other side is chilling.
A chain’s security council can unilaterally freeze funds—what’s the difference from a bank freezing accounts?
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#Arbitrum冻结KelpDAO黑客ETH Recently, the Arbitrum security committee pulled off a major feat—freezing the 30,766 ETH stolen from KelpDAO, worth about $77 million.
At first glance, this is a good thing. The hacker’s money is locked up, and victims’ hopes of getting their assets back are greatly boosted. Law enforcement intervention and on-chain governance responses are coming together—an entire asset-recovery path is taking shape.
But flip the coin, and the other side gives you chills down your spine.
A security committee of a single chain can freeze funds unilaterally. What’s the difference from a bank freezing accounts?
If they can freeze hackers today, can they freeze yours tomorrow? And if, in a decentralized on-chain system, there is an organization that can press the pause button at any time, then whose assets are those supposed to be—really?
Arbitrum is not the first to do this, and it certainly won’t be the last.
From Tornado Cash being sanctioned, to various cross-chain bridges being hacked and then the project teams jointly freezing USDT with Tether, to today’s Arbitrum security committee taking direct action—on-chain freezing is shifting from an extreme measure to a kind of standard operating procedure.
Supporters will say: This is a necessary move to protect users and crack down on crime. That’s right—$77 million isn’t a small amount. Victims may be ordinary users, and recovering assets is indeed gratifying.
But the voices of opponents can’t be ignored either: once the ability to freeze on-chain becomes the norm, what difference is left from traditional finance? Immutability, no need for trust, and resistance to censorship—Web3’s foundational pillars are being pulled out one by one.
When you rely on a chain that can be frozen, are you using the blockchain—or just a database wearing a Web3 costume?
From a market perspective, $ARB is bullish in the short term. Showing execution, giving users a sense of security, and even potentially attracting more institutions—after all, large holders like assets that can be recovered.
But in the long run, this is a serious hit to the decentralization narrative. Every successful instance of human intervention weakens blockchain’s most fundamental value proposition.
The real problem is actually just one:
If a chain can freeze money, then whose money is it, in the end?
Is it yours, or the committee’s? Is it the code’s, or the private-key holders of those few multisig wallets?
There is no standard answer to this question. Because the blockchain world is heading into an unanticipated crossroads: on one side are the real-world needs for regulation, security, and user protection; on the other side is an uncompromising belief in decentralization. Perhaps future public chains will fork into two camps: one that is “more secure” and more intervention-friendly, suited for institutions and large capital; the other that steadfastly maintains absolute resistance to censorship, suited for true believers.
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#美伊二轮谈判进展 The U.S.-Iran "pause button" has been pressed, but has the alarm been turned off?
As April progresses into late April, global markets are firmly focused on the Middle East. In the past 24 hours, dramatic and extreme tug-of-war headlines have emerged around the U.S.-Iran situation—Iran refused to attend negotiations, while Trump unilaterally extended the ceasefire. This "fight while talking" drama continues, and as investors, what we truly need to pay attention to is how this chess game will unfold next and how your account should respond.
1. Latest developments in the U.S.-Iran s
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#美伊二轮谈判进展 The U.S.-Iran "pause button" has been pressed, but has the alarm been lifted?
As April progresses, global markets are firmly focused on the Middle East. In the past 24 hours, dramatic and extreme tug-of-war news has emerged around the U.S.-Iran situation—Iran refused to attend negotiations, while Trump unilaterally extended the ceasefire. This "fight while talking" drama continues, and as investors, what we truly need to pay attention to is how this chess game will unfold next and how your account should respond.
1. Latest developments in the U.S.-Iran situation: ceasefire extended, but the blockade remains.
The second round of U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for April 22 in Islamabad, Pakistan, was stalled due to Iran’s refusal to attend. Iran’s official news agency reported that Iran believes the U.S. is obstructing a substantive agreement, calling participation in negotiations a "waste of time." However, on the same day, U.S. President Trump announced that, at Pakistan’s request, he agreed to extend the U.S.-Iran ceasefire until Iran submits its proposal and consultations are completed. But this does not mean the situation has eased:
- Trump explicitly instructed the U.S. military to continue maritime blockade against Iran and maintain combat readiness
- Iran responded strongly: the Strait of Hormuz entrance and exit have been blocked, all navigation is under strict control of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy
- Iran publicly displayed ballistic missiles in Tehran, claiming to be fully prepared for renewed conflict
- IEA chief warned: the world is facing the most severe energy crisis in history
In one sentence: the ceasefire is just a "pause button," not a "stop button."
2. New variables in the tariff battlefield: $166 billion in refunds initiated!
Meanwhile, major changes are happening across the ocean in tariff policies. On April 20, U.S. Customs officially launched the refund process—this year in February, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act were overreach, requiring refunds. So far, about 56k importers have registered, involving approximately $127 billion in refunds. But don’t get too excited. Trump has announced plans to impose a new 10% tariff on imported goods under another law. More importantly, the U.S. Trade Representative has explicitly told Mexico that there will be no return to zero tariffs. For investors, this means: the uncertainty of U.S. trade policy will not disappear in the short term.
3. What market information should we focus on?
Faced with external uncertainties, many brokerages have given clear judgments:
Caitong Securities believes: "Although the two-week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is about to end, the market remains relatively optimistic about future Middle East developments, and major global equity markets are currently relatively stable."
Zhongyuan Securities points out: "Future Middle East conflicts may still recur, but the market has gradually become desensitized, and subsequent market pricing will gradually return to its fundamental logic."
Zhongtai Securities states: "In the medium term, the A-share market does not face systemic risks of sharp decline, but the probability of a 'fast bull' is low. It is recommended to 'control positions and prioritize structure.'"
Core conclusion: The marginal impact of geopolitical factors is waning, and A-shares are returning to their own rhythm.
Based on the above information, key dimensions to monitor:
1. The "dual variables" of the U.S.-Iran situation: ceasefire extended, but maritime blockade remains. Next, pay attention to two signals:
- Will Iran submit a "unified plan"? This determines whether negotiations can restart.
- Will the U.S. military continue intercepting Iranian ships? Any accidental conflict could break the fragile ceasefire.
2. Performance divergence during the intensive Q1 report disclosure period—April is peak season for quarterly reports.
Caitong Securities reminds: "As the deadline for financial report releases approaches, the risk of underperformance may increase, and capital behavior may become more cautious."
3. The "left hand refunds, right hand tariffs" of U.S. tariff policy—$166 billion in refunds has begun, but a 10% new tariff is also being pushed simultaneously. For export-related targets, closely monitor how policy changes impact them.
4. Changes in liquidity environment
Zhongtai Securities points out: "An environment of extremely abundant liquidity is not stable." Future focus should be on central bank operations and market interest rate changes.
Currently, the market is in a stage of "external disturbance attenuation and internal logic strengthening." The U.S.-Iran situation remains the biggest uncertainty. For investors, the most important thing now is not to guess "whether there will be war tomorrow," but: does your holdings have performance support? Can your judgment framework penetrate the noise? The market won't wait for you to clear all the clues before acting. But the more chaotic it is, the more you need to stay calm.
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#美伊二轮谈判进展 Ceasefire "God-level Prediction"? $430 million Precise Bet on Falling Oil Prices, Insider Trading Suspicion Rises Again
On April 22, U.S. President Trump announced the extension of the Iran ceasefire agreement just 15 minutes before the market saw a $430 million short position on crude oil, sparking strong suspicion of potential insider trading. Data shows this is the third time this month and the fourth time since the outbreak of conflict that a "precise timing" large transaction occurred before the release of major Middle East situation news:
On March 23, 15 minutes before Trum
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#美伊二轮谈判进展 Ceasefire “God-Level Prediction”? $430 Million Precisely Timed Oil Price Drop Bet Sparks New Insider Trading Doubts
On April 22, just 15 minutes before U.S. President Trump announced the extension of the Iran ceasefire agreement, the market saw as much as $430 million in crude oil short bets, triggering strong outside doubts about potential insider trading. Data shows this is the third such time this month, and the fourth time since the outbreak of the conflict, that “precisely timed” large-scale trades appeared before major Middle East situation updates were released:
On March 23, about 15 minutes before Trump announced the postponement of strikes on Iran’s power facilities, around $500 million was bet on a decline in oil prices;
A few hours before the ceasefire agreement was made public on April 7, a $950 million short position was established in advance;
About 20 minutes before Iran announced the opening of the Strait of Hormuz on April 17, $760 million was bet on oil prices rebounding lower;
In total, the scale of similar transactions in April has reached about $2.1 billion. The repeated appearance of “precise trades timed for events” has led the market to begin focusing on the risks of information leakage and regulatory arbitrage.
Analysts say that, in a context of highly sensitive geopolitics, if such trading activities involve the flow of undisclosed information, they could seriously undermine market fairness.
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#沃什听证会引发争议 Wosh Hearing Review — Signs of Change in the Federal Reserve Emerging
The real suspense isn't in the hearing, but within many members of the Republican Party!
After watching the hearing, everyone thought Wosh performed well, and his nomination was almost certain. But the reality is quite the opposite, as Nick Timiraos of the “New Federal Reserve News Agency” said, whether Wosh can be confirmed has little to do with his performance at the hearing. The ultimate decision-making power lies with Republican Senator Tom Tillis.
Currently, in the Senate Banking Committee, Republicans hold a
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#沃什听证会引发争议 Wosh Hearing Review — Signs of Change in the Federal Reserve Emerge
The real suspense isn't in the hearing, but within many members of the Republican Party!
After watching the hearing, everyone thought Wosh performed well, and his nomination was almost certain. But the reality is quite the opposite, as Nick Timiraos of the "New Federal Reserve News Agency" said, whether Wosh can be confirmed has little to do with his performance at the hearing. The ultimate decision-making power lies with Republican Senator Tom Thillis.
Currently, the Senate Banking Committee holds a narrow majority with 13 votes to 11 for the Republicans. This means that if just one Republican senator opposes, the nomination will result in a 12-12 tie, preventing it from proceeding to a full Senate vote. Thillis has already stated clearly that he will not support any Federal Reserve nominations until the Department of Justice concludes its investigation into Powell. This situation is full of irony. Thillis’s reason for opposing the investigation is precisely to "protect the independence of the Federal Reserve from political interference." He even said at the hearing that he reviewed the renovation project of the Fed headquarters and, although overspending is regrettable, overall it was compliant and legitimate. In other words, he doesn’t believe Powell has any issues; he simply opposes Trump’s use of investigations to pressure the Fed. This creates a deadlock: Trump uses investigations to force Powell to cut rates, while Republican senators, aiming to protect Fed independence, block Trump’s nominee for Fed Chair. Now both sides are stuck, unwilling to make the first move.
The time window is rapidly closing. The Department of Justice has already blocked the Department of Justice from issuing subpoenas to the Fed, and prosecutors must decide whether to appeal by May 3. Powell’s term officially ends on May 15, leaving less than ten legislative days before then. If Trump insists on continuing the investigation, Wosh is almost certain not to take office on time. At that point, Trump will face a dilemma: either accept Powell’s continued role as acting chair, risking his own reputation, or forcibly dismiss Powell, triggering an unprecedented constitutional crisis. Neither option is good for Trump, so he should probably abandon further attacks on old Powell.
More Important Than Rate Cuts: Potential Deep Reforms at the Fed
Many focus only on whether Wosh will cut rates, but overlook another, more significant signal he sent at the hearing: if he finally takes office, the way the Fed operates will undergo the most profound changes since the Volcker era. These changes will have a far-reaching impact on markets, much more than a few rate cuts.
First is the reconstruction of the inflation framework. The current approach is an average inflation targeting system, meaning if inflation was below 2% in previous years, the Fed allows inflation to run above 2% later to make up for the shortfall. The problem with this framework is that it’s easily affected by short-term supply shocks, such as rising oil prices or tariffs—factors unrelated to monetary policy—that can make the Fed hesitant to cut rates. Wosh wants to overhaul this framework. He favors using indicators like trimmed mean inflation to measure inflation, essentially increasing tolerance for inflation. Coupled with his proposed AI-driven productivity deflation logic, this acts as a "double insurance" for future rate cuts. As long as core inflation remains under control, even if overall CPI is slightly higher, the Fed might still choose to cut rates.
Second is reforming communication methods. Wosh explicitly states that current Fed officials speak too much, which causes market confusion. He hints at possibly removing the current dot plot and reducing public speeches by officials. The dot plot, a product of Powell’s era, involves quarterly anonymous forecasts of future interest rates. However, it often diverges from market expectations, increasing volatility. If the dot plot is eliminated, markets won’t focus on every meeting’s dot plot for trading, and the Fed’s policy flexibility will greatly improve.
The third and most controversial point is Wosh’s view that the Fed’s massive balance sheet is a primary cause of the U.S. "K-shaped economy." What is a K-shaped economy? Post-pandemic, the U.S. economy has become highly polarized: the wealthy holding stocks and real estate have seen their wealth soar, while ordinary workers’ wages lag behind inflation, making life increasingly difficult. The top 1% of Americans now hold 32% of the nation’s wealth, while the poorest half owns only 2.5%. Wosh argues that the Fed’s balance sheet, which expanded from $800 billion in 2006 to $6.7 trillion today—an eightfold increase—has not distributed money evenly. Instead, it first flowed into banks and the wealthy. Wealthy individuals, after receiving the money, don’t spend on staples but buy stocks and real estate, pushing up asset prices. The result is the rich get richer, while ordinary people bear the brunt of inflation. Wosh advocates gradually shrinking the Fed’s balance sheet and explicitly states that the Fed should no longer hold long-term government bonds or mortgage-backed securities. His logic is that reducing the balance sheet will decrease market liquidity, curb asset bubbles, and slow the wealth accumulation of the rich. Simultaneously, combined with rate cuts, this would lower mortgage, auto, and corporate financing costs for ordinary people, channeling money into the real economy rather than virtual assets. Simply put, turn off the tap flowing to the wealthy and open the tap for ordinary people. Additionally, Wosh expressed support for integrating cryptocurrencies into the formal financial system but firmly opposes issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC). This means that if he takes office, the Fed’s financial regulation policies will generally become more relaxed.
What to Watch for in the Next Month
Currently, Wosh’s nomination remains highly uncertain. Over the next month, several key dates and events require close attention.
The first is May 3: whether the Department of Justice will appeal the subpoena issue. If DOJ drops the appeal, the investigation into Powell will likely end quickly, and Thillis will have no reason to oppose Wosh’s nomination. This appears to be the most likely scenario. If DOJ insists on appealing, the investigation will drag on, and Wosh’s confirmation will become highly unlikely.
The second is May 15: Powell’s term ends. If Wosh is not confirmed by then, Powell will continue as acting chair. The biggest market risk then will be whether Trump chooses to compromise temporarily or to forcibly dismiss Powell.
Overall, this hearing did not resolve any fundamental conflicts, but it is a crucial turning point. Over the past decade, we’ve become accustomed to a Fed that actively intervenes in markets and acts as an all-powerful entity. Now, some are proposing to revert it to a more traditional role: focusing solely on price stability and minimizing market intervention. Regardless of whether Wosh finally takes office, this discussion is already influencing market expectations. For ordinary investors, rather than speculating on whether rates will be cut next month, it’s more important to pay attention to these potential deep changes at the Fed. Because these changes will truly shape the valuation logic of global assets in the coming years.
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#以太坊Meme季卷土重来 Ethereum Meme Season is back
This round of Ethereum memes starts with a puppy and a reply from Elon Musk.
A few days ago, SpaceX founder Elon Musk replied to a post by media personality Glenn Beck on X. The post described: a teenage girl designed a Shiba Inu plush toy before passing away from cancer, named Asteroid, and sent it on the 2024 SpaceX Polaris Dawn mission. The plush acts as a zero-gravity indicator inside the spacecraft, the first object to float when humans enter weightlessness.
One of the girl’s last wishes was for Asteroid to become SpaceX’s official mascot.
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#以太坊Meme季卷土重来 Ethereum Meme Season is back
This round of Ethereum memes starts with a puppy and a reply from Elon Musk.
A few days ago, SpaceX founder Elon Musk replied to a post by media personality Glenn Beck on X. The post described: a teenage girl designed a Shiba Inu plush toy before passing away from cancer, named Asteroid, and sent it on the 2024 SpaceX Polaris Dawn mission. That plush acts as a zero-gravity indicator inside the spacecraft, the first object to float when humans enter weightlessness.
One of the girl’s last wishes was for Asteroid to become SpaceX’s official mascot.
Musk’s reply was just four words: Will answer shortly.
On-chain traders, with sharp instincts, immediately took action. They found a memecoin called $ASTEROID on Ethereum, existing for 19 months with almost no attention. But that day, it surged over 1,000% in six hours. Someone put in 1 ETH and withdrew $470k three hours later. This rapid wealth story spread quickly on social media, triggering a new round of FOMO.
Ethereum mainnet gas fees then climbed from 0.052 Gwei, stabilizing around 0.6 Gwei over the following days, a tenfold increase. The number of trading pairs on Uniswap V2 exploded, with 24-hour trading volume in the meme sector surpassing mainstream DeFi protocols in the short term.
Gas fees are a good barometer. They tell us: Meme season on Ethereum is back. Today, let’s look at the features of this batch of Ethereum memes and their respective narrative logic.
Mascot Concept
ASTEROID the dog is hot not only because Musk mentioned it but also because it has a “real physical existence”: it has actually flown to space, with photos and mission records that can be verified. Unlike ordinary fabricated memes, it has a real-world anchor.
This logic then spawned a series of new projects themed around “real existing mascots”:
For example, RISE uses the NASA flag, claiming to be the “NASA official mascot.” Of course, NASA has not authorized any token—this is a standard “riding on official imagery” move. But the narrative is clear: space agency + American symbols + ASTEROID, riding the wave. After a few days online, its market cap exceeded $900k, making it the most liquid project in this space-themed wave.
FLOAT directly reuses ASTEROID’s core prop: the zero-gravity indicator. The project is called “SpaceX Zero-G Squad,” with the logic of turning the ritual represented by ASTEROID (throwing a plush into the spaceship before launch to confirm weightlessness) into a group narrative. Over 24 hours, it surged over 2000%, though its size remains tiny and is currently in a correction phase.
Before each spaceship launch, a plush is thrown to confirm zero-G.
There’s also an outlier in space narratives.
CLUTCH doesn’t follow the space theme but rides another nearby real event: the upcoming FIFA World Cup opening on June 11, 2026. Clutch is the official mascot of FIFA, a white-headed eagle wearing jersey number 10.
The project team for CLUTCH directly listed the FIFA mascot page URL on their official site, an unabashed move. Clearly, this meme bets on a “calendar catalyst”: as the event approaches, external events will continue to drive traffic. Its 24-hour surge once exceeded 43,000%, but its market cap is still under $700k, very early stage.
Besides the mascot concept, ASTEROID also reignited Musk and Tesla concepts, such as RIZO.
Rizo’s narrative is a hedgehog, originally created as a corporate mascot by Spanish insurance company Génesis Seguros in 2008. The hedgehog makes an “OK” gesture, with a friendly expression, initially just commercial material.
Around 2013, netizens turned it into the “haha yes” meme series, widely spread—paired with various affirmative titles, becoming a universal reaction image for “that’s right” or “I’m satisfied.”
In 2019, Musk brought it into Tesla’s product experience: the Model Y purchase confirmation page featured this hedgehog with the caption “S3XY.” Over the following years, Rizo appeared in Tesla’s limited Cyber Beer bottle patterns, Easter eggs on the Texas Gigafactory flagpole (visible only with drone footage), a cyberpunk version on the Cybertruck purchase page, and Tesla’s official T-shirts.
This is a meme symbol repeatedly confirmed by Musk himself, not just fan interpretation. The logic of RIZO memecoin is built on this relationship. Its current market cap approaches $200k, with a 28% rebound in the past hour.
Comic IPs as Meme Generators
Pepe the Frog’s brother, MYSTERY
Creator of Pepe, Matt Furie, published his first book, “The Night Riders,” in 1999. It’s a wordless picture book featuring four animal characters: frog, mouse, dragon, and bat. For years, no one knew the frog’s name until someone found the note at the end of the book: it’s Mystery.
Main character of “The Night Riders”
Furie’s own NFT series HEDZ also features a character called Mystery, an avatar of him wearing an orange hoodie—somewhat a self-identity declaration.
The community’s narrative for MYSTERY is just one sentence: “You missed PEPE, here’s your second chance.”
This resonates in crypto circles not because it’s logically sound but because everyone who experienced PEPE’s rise remembers the feeling of “not daring to buy.” That fear is precisely evoked.
The marketing team behind MYSTERY has partnered with the team behind Brett (current market cap about $2 billion), providing some backing.
Its market cap is close to $1.9 million, making it one of the most liquid projects among these new projects, with over a million dollars traded in 24 hours.
FLORK and Its Derivative Universe
Among all these new projects, FLORK is an IP unrelated to crypto but capable of explosive short-term gains.
It surged nearly 6,000% in 6 hours, with over $8 million traded in 24 hours.
Flork of Cows is a webcomic started in 2012 by Brian DiAntonio. Its art style is extremely crude, MS Paint-style abstract little figures, looking like unfinished sock puppets, with existential daily humor.
That “low-cost but highly engaging” vibe is similar to early Rage Comics or Trollface, but it’s lasted longer because Flork’s content is universal—any cultural background can see themselves in those absurd little figures.
It’s especially popular in Latin America, becoming part of everyday emotional language on Spanish-language internet.
The Ethereum version of FLORK’s contract was created in April 2023, dormant for three years, then surged this wave.
Its market cap approaches $10 million, making it a main target among these new projects.
Its explosion has also driven the expansion of the “Flork universe.”
FLORKY, a recently launched female version of Flork, appeared just now.
A female character occasionally seen in Flork comics, surged 1331% in 6 hours, and has an Instagram account.
BABYFLORK, a baby version, surged 1722% in 24 hours.
This “main project → derivative baby/girl” path is a common expansion logic for major IPs, highly mature in the meme sector.
Political Memes, MAGA Variants
If mascot concepts and space narratives are emotion-driven, political memes follow a different logic: opposition and identity.
MAGA, short for Make Aliens Great Again, twists Trump’s campaign slogan into a wordplay, recently linked with UFO/alien narratives.
This isn’t random: in 2025, the US government will systematically release UAP (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena) files, a topic highly associated with conspiracy theories, Tucker Carlson’s audience, and MAGA politics in crypto circles.
Another is BRITAIN, a meme following the UK version of MAGA, against the backdrop of Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party’s unexpected rise in the 2024 election.
“Restore Britain” is a real political slogan.
The meme’s TikTok account extends its reach beyond crypto to right-wing audiences.
Its 24-hour surge reached 220%, relatively moderate but more stable than other very new projects, with a few days of trading, balanced buy/sell, and ongoing activity.
But political memes carry risks: their audiences are fixed, and their ability to break out is weaker than purely cultural memes.
However, community cohesion is often stronger, making them less likely to collapse quickly when market sentiment cools.
An Observation
This is very different from Solana’s gaming scene.
Community members pointed out on April 18 that:
Memes on Solana are PvP: quick in and out, mainly traders competing with each other, with on-chain lifespans measured in hours.
Ethereum memes are different: slower, but tend to accumulate more narrative density.
PEPE on Ethereum has built a community lasting years; SHIB created its own Layer 2 on Ethereum.
This wave of Ethereum memes is technically at a special window: after EIP-4844, gas is no longer a barrier, but Layer 2 solutions divert on-chain traffic, making mainnet flow particularly scarce.
When truly hot projects emerge, the capital concentration effect will be even stronger than before.
Most of these memes will still fade away, but their narratives and perspectives are highly meaningful as memories.
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#Gate13周年现场直击 Market Analysis: The Game Between Geopolitical Warmth and Regulatory Cold Fronts
1. Price Trends: Geopolitical Relaxation Sparks Rebound, Key Levels Face Tests
Recently, the crypto market has experienced a significant rebound. On April 23, Bitcoin rose about 4.4%, trading near $79,100, approaching the important psychological level of $80,000 intraday. Ethereum also rose to around $2,400, with major coins like XRP and Dogecoin seeing varying degrees of follow-up gains.
The core driver of this rally comes from the marginal easing of the Middle East situation. The Trump admini
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#Gate13周年现场直击 Market Analysis: The Game Between Geopolitical Warmth and Regulatory Cold Snap
1. Price Trends: Geopolitical Relaxation Sparks Rebound, Key Levels Face Tests
Recently, the crypto market has experienced a significant rebound. On April 23, Bitcoin rose about 4.4%, trading near $79,100, briefly approaching the important psychological level of $80,000 during the day. Ethereum also rose to around $2,400, with major coins like XRP and Dogecoin showing varying degrees of gains.
The core driving force behind this rally comes from the marginal easing of the Middle East situation. The Trump administration announced an extension of the ceasefire agreement with Iran, combined with dovish signals from Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Woor, significantly boosting global risk appetite. As risk aversion cools, Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen net inflows for six consecutive trading days, accumulating over $1.5 billion in funds, indicating that institutional capital is re-entering the market.
On the technical side, Bitcoin currently faces a key resistance at $80,000, and a breakthrough would require challenging the 200-day exponential moving average; support levels are at $75,000-$76,000. Over the past 24 hours, more than $448 million in short positions were forcibly liquidated, further amplifying the rally through short squeeze effects.
2. International Regulation: The Accelerating Formation of Compliance Frameworks
As the market rebounds, the global regulatory landscape is also rapidly reshaping.
Internationally, the EU’s MiCA legislation has been fully implemented, requiring crypto service providers to obtain authorization; Hong Kong will issue its first stablecoin issuer licenses to institutions like HSBC and Standard Chartered by April 2026; the U.S. passed the “Genius Act” in 2025, establishing the Federal Reserve’s primary regulatory role over payment stablecoins. Global regulation is shifting from fragmented bans to systematic legislation.
3. Institutional Movements: Wall Street Accelerates Entry
Another trend that cannot be ignored is the accelerated infiltration of traditional financial institutions. Goldman Sachs is launching a Bitcoin ETF, Morgan Stanley has launched its largest-ever Bitcoin ETF debut, and Charles Schwab is opening crypto spot trading to retail investors. Corporate buy-in is also gaining momentum, with Strategy investing $2.54 billion in April to acquire approximately 34,000 Bitcoin, making it the largest publicly disclosed holder globally.
4. Outlook: The Interplay of Bull and Bear Factors
In the short term, Bitcoin’s movement still depends on two main factors. The upward momentum hinges on: if the U.S. and Iran reach a formal ceasefire agreement, it could serve as a strong catalyst to improve liquidity conditions and push prices back to historic highs; continued ETF net inflows and corporate holdings provide buying support. The downside risks include: ongoing uncertainty in the Middle East, Iran’s refusal to send representatives to negotiations, high oil prices exerting potential pressure on risk assets; and tightening regulations in multiple countries could also suppress some speculative demand.
For investors, the current market is at a confluence of geopolitical tensions, institutionalization, and regulatory reshaping, presenting both opportunities and risks.
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As expectations of easing tensions in the Middle East increase, the safe-haven attribute of the US dollar has significantly weakened, coupled with market bets on a rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year, leading to an accelerated withdrawal of global funds from dollar assets.
Data shows that the US dollar index has fallen about 2.3% since its high at the end of March, possibly marking the worst monthly performance since August of last year.
Wall Street institutions generally believe that this round of dollar weakness is fundamentally driven by a "diminishing safe-haven premium + shift i
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#比特币反弹 As expectations of easing tensions in the Middle East rise, the safe-haven attribute of the US dollar has significantly weakened, coupled with market bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates later this year, leading to an accelerated withdrawal of global funds from dollar assets.
Data shows that the US dollar index has fallen about 2.3% since its late March high, possibly marking the worst monthly performance since August last year.
Wall Street institutions generally believe that this round of dollar weakness is fundamentally driven by a "diminishing safe-haven premium + shift in policy expectations."
JPMorgan has restarted its short-dollar strategy, turning bullish on risk currencies like the Australian dollar; Bank of New York Mellon also pointed out that emerging market currencies are rebounding across the board, reflecting a significant increase in global risk appetite.
BTC spot ETF has achieved six consecutive days of net inflows.
Among them, the net inflow on April 17 reached as high as $663.91M, the highest in recent times; net inflows of $411.5 million and $238.37 million were recorded on April 14 and April 20, respectively; on April 15, a contribution of $186 million was made.
On the outflow side, only four days saw net outflows, with daily amounts not exceeding $400 million.
Regarding Ethereum spot ETFs, since April 9 of this year, there has been a rare 9-day consecutive net inflow.
On April 17, a single-day net inflow of $127 million was recorded, hitting a new high for the month.
In terms of net outflows this month, only four days occurred.
Stablecoin data shows that, according to DefiLlama, the total has risen to $320.6 billion, with a net inflow of $635M over the past 7 days.
Future Trends
Glassnode released a chart showing that Bitcoin has recaptured the $78k level, with spot demand and ETF fund inflows both returning.
Short positions, along with negative funding rates, have accumulated, creating potential for a short squeeze.
However, high realized profits and subdued volatility signals warrant caution, and the upward space around $80k faces resistance.
BIT tweeted that new sources of Bitcoin demand are gradually emerging.
The continuous accumulation by Strategy provides relatively stable buying support for the market, and clearer signs of capital inflows focused on allocation are beginning to appear.
Specifically, CoinbPremium continues to rise, with daily net inflows of spot Bitcoin ETFs reaching about $664 million at one point, the highest since mid-January.
All these signals point in one direction: the demand structure is recovering.
Corporate financial buying, ETF fund inflows, and US spot demand are forming a combined force, making support at price lows more stable, and market participation is also increasing, showing a clear difference from previous correction phases.
Combined with the rebound of stablecoin funds, liquidity support is also gradually strengthening.
These two clues corroborate each other, suggesting the market may be gradually building a new trading range.
This does not necessarily mean a linear upward trend, but if the above trends continue, the probability of prices moving toward the upper boundary of the range is increasing.
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🎁 Points for luxury gifts! The 18th community lottery celebration for growth points is now open!
New and old users have a 100% chance to win; complete daily tasks to participate in the lottery!
👉 https://www.gate.com/activities/pointprize?now_period=18
🌟 How to participate?
1️⃣ Enter the 【Square】 personal homepage, click the points icon next to the avatar to access 【Community Center】
2️⃣ Complete tasks such as posting, commenting, liking, and speaking in the square or hot chat to earn growth points
🎁 Every 300 points earned grants one lottery entry; win a MacBook Air M5, Gate 1
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