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#XRP / #BTC – Bullish Rectangle Is STILL Holding🔥:
Let’s be clear:
▫️ #XRP / #USDT → Broke down
▫️ #XRP / #USDC → Broke down
▫️ #XRP / #USD → Broke down
But… The one that actually matters for cycle rotation?
#XRP / #BTC is still holding the Bullish Rectangular Formation LIKE A BOSS 🤠. That tells you something important:
👉#XRP is showing relative strength against #BTC, even while #USD pairs look weak.
👉When dominance shifts, it starts here, not in the noise of other pairs ( #USDT - #USDC - #USD).
If #XRP holds strength vs #BTC, the story changes into #Bullish coiling Phase.
Structure > Noi
XRP-5,29%
BTC-2,63%
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#TMC3 - Total Market Cap Excluding ( #BTC & #ETH):
You Are Not Bullish Enough
BTC-2,63%
ETH-5,2%
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#BTC – The Bottom Is NOT In (Yet) 🧠:
Unless this time we get a serious curveball.
📌Historical chart is very clear:
Every time the light blue crosses below the red line, a bottoming structure forms, either a few days before the cross or weeks after it. But never without it.
📌We are currently 3 out of 3 cycles where:
▫️ No confirmed macro bottom
▫️ No sustainable expansion
▫️ Until the bearish cross occurred
▫️That’s not my opinion. That’s structure.
📌So based on this framework, I cannot call a bottom yet.
▫️Either:
1️⃣ The bearish cross still needs to happen → bottom forms around it
▫️ Or
BTC-2,63%
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#XRP – Elliott Wave Reality Check (W3🟰$15-$31):
Let’s be precise. No hopium.
✔️ Wave 1⃣:
The ~814% expansion fits a textbook impulsive Wave 1. Strong momentum, clean channel respect.
✔️ Wave 2⃣(Now):
The current pullback sits perfectly within normal Wave 2 retracements (50%–61.8%, even deeper is valid in crypto). Still inside the macro channel → no invalidation yet.
✔️Wave 3⃣:
The ONLY thing that confirms Wave 3. Price must reclaim the Wave-1 high with a weekly close and momentum expansion. Until that happens: This is still corrective
✔️Wave 2⃣:
It can extend or go sideways. Labeling Wave 3
XRP-5,29%
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#BTC (Monthly) – Cycle Structure Analysis 📊 :
🏳️Personal Take (No Ego):
▫️This Cycle, I got pulled into the “Trump Golden Age” narrative and the Liquidity Cycle thesis, when in reality the 4-year cycle should’ve been the core plan and exit framework, just like in past cycles. Lesson learned.
▫️A curveball scenario may still play out, but first, I’m grounding back into structure and historical truth. ▫️Charts don’t need stories. They need discipline.
................. To Continue Reading my take what comes first and the whole thesis about 4 year Cycle Click the link below 🔗:
BTC-2,63%
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THE U.S. MIDTERM ELECTION = THE CRYPTO CATALYST 🗳️
📌U.S. midterms land in Q4 2026, and betting markets are already signaling Republican weakness.
📌If Donald Trump wants to flip the odds, the playbook is familiar:
✔️pump confidence, pump markets.
✔️Markets don’t argue politics , they react to price.
📌How this could unfold:
✔️Early 2026: Correction phase → blame shifts to Jerome Powell
✔️Mid 2026: Pressure for a new Fed stance → liquidity easing
✔️Late 2026: Market recovery into the election window
📌Why it works:
✔️Rising asset prices erase memory fast
✔️Dividends + tax relief boost small
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THE U.S. MIDTERM ELECTION = THE CRYPTO CATALYST 🗳️
📌U.S. midterms land in Q4 2026, and betting markets are already signaling Republican weakness.
📌If Donald Trump wants to flip the odds, the playbook is familiar:
✔️pump confidence, pump markets.
✔️Markets don’t argue politics , they react to price.
📌How this could unfold:
✔️Early 2026: Correction phase → blame shifts to Jerome Powell
✔️Mid 2026: Pressure for a new Fed stance → liquidity easing
✔️Late 2026: Market recovery into the election window
📌Why it works:
✔️Rising asset prices erase memory fast
✔️Dividends + tax relief boost small
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#XRP - Nothing Has changed Only Your Balls Getting Smaller😎🤑:
XRP-5,29%
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#BTC – The Ribbon-Fractal Is Back ($150K & $500K):
Men lie. Narratives lie. But the MA ribbon shows you exactly where the market is in the cycle 🧠📈
What I see on the chart:
▫️ October 2026
▫️ Potentially end of Q3 2028 / beginning of Q4
💡 Hint: Think elections.
When timing, structure, and narrative align, the picture becomes clear.
Structure > Noise
BTC-2,63%
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#XRP – The 44 EMA 🟣 Thesis (You Read It Here First) ⏳:
Monthly structure is clear:
▫️Price is testing the 44 EMA → historical pain zone
▫️MACRO trend still bullish, but we’re in a corrective phase
3 Paths 🛣️ From Here:
1️⃣ Flush scenario:
Monthly close below 44 EMA → structure breaks
👉 Liquidity hunt toward $0.65 -$0.85c = final capitulation
2️⃣ Relief bounce:
Hold 44 EMA → reaction move inside channel
👉 $2.20 = logical relief target (NOT a bull run, But more of a #bull Trap)
3️⃣ Bull continuation (not yet):
Needs acceptance above $2.20–$2.30
👉Only then we can talk about New ATHs come bac
XRP-5,29%
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Will the U.S. 🇺🇸 strike Iran 🇮🇷 or will a last-minute deal emerge?
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The Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s broad tariff program exceeded legal authority.
Markets reacted with an initial relief bounce , now shifting into assessment mode, weighing:
•Positives: reduced trade-policy uncertainty, potential easing of cost pressures
•Negatives: policy vacuum risk, renewed political friction, and longer-term trade realignment
Short-term uncertainty, long-term market will adapt.
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#XRP – MACRO Throwback:
Do you see the macro throwback? Do you understand what usually comes next?
ONLY FEW 🧠
Structure > Nosie
XRP-5,29%
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"Don't Let Perfection, Be The Enemy of Progress" @bgarlinghouse
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#TMC - No Matter How Long We Grind Inside These MAs, The Outcome Is The Same: UP.
ONLY FEW 🧠
ONLY FEW 🧠
ONLY FEW 🧠
UP-4,52%
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#BTC / #XAU - Is The Signal:
Look in the near future how the narrative will change. Watch and learn.
Men Lie, Women Lie but Charts Do not lie:
This is how rotations end, quietly, on structure, not headlines.
People will explain it after it happens. Watch and learn.
This is how rotations end based on structure, not headlines.
BTC-2,63%
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#XRP - Cycle Bottoms Don’t Stay Flat 📈:
Just Sharing Some Math to see if it will be Mathing in the future.
🔹2020 cycle bottom: $0.10
🔹2022 cycle bottom: $0.28
➡️That’s a 2.8× step-up in cycle lows.
🔹If #XRP follows the same structural rhythm:
🔹$0.28 × 2.8 ≈ $0.78
➡️Projected next macro bottom: $0.75–$0.85
💡This isn’t hype, it’s cycle math.
Each cycle:
▫️ Establishes a higher floor
▫️ Compresses downside volatility
▫️ Builds structure, not randomness
Markets don’t repeat. They rhyme.
And #XRP’s rhyme is higher lows, every cycle.
XRP-5,29%
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