Dannyw

Let's analyze how this round of BTC and ETH oscillations may play out using the trend cost band of the dark flow.
The accumulation trend is ongoing. The BTC trend accumulation average price is 70781, and the lower edge of the cost band—i.e., the stop-loss price—is 69727. The upper edge breakout price is 71836.
ETH average is 2178, the lower edge is 2145, and the upper edge is 2210. The price will most likely continue to oscillate within this range. #加密市场小幅下跌

$ETH
Currently, it appears to be a fairly normal retracement phase. The key point should be the rebound situation of the current 4H K-line.
The 2160 area was a clear resistance zone before. After breaking through, a retest here to test for a reversal possibility is quite normal. Observe the retest of the 4H K-line around 12:00 to determine whether it's a false breakout or a pullback rebound first.

#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 But BTC has not yet entered a bullish, one-sided upward trend, because the 1-day MACD has not yet climbed above the zero line to form a large divergence pattern (duckbill shape). Fortunately, this time ETH is leading the way, with the 1-day MACD crossing above the zero line first, and the daily chart showing strength + weekly golden cross. As long as the smaller timeframes below 1 hour show strength, this market is dominated by bulls and is in a strong upward trend. This indicates that on the 30-minute and 15-minute charts, a minor pullback can be used to enter long positions, a

History has proven:
The 2018 bear market, with prices falling from a high point
Multiple rebounds along the way, but the monthly chart never truly turned upward
As a result, the rebounds ended with new lows, until the final accelerated decline bottomed out
The same applies to 2022
Multiple staged rebounds that looked like reversals
But the monthly trend remained downward
Those who entered early were either trapped or repeatedly drained
The real bull market
Always begins with a monthly trend that stops falling → stabilizes → turns upward
Not by feeling to catch the bottom during a decline#Gate广

Weekly BTC Market Summary:
3.30-4.5 BTC Price Movement: Started at 66,500, peaked at 69,300, dropped to 65,000, currently at 67,000.
This week had the smallest fluctuation in recent times, especially on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, when trading volume was sluggish and volatility narrowed. It feels somewhat pessimistic, teetering on the edge, with a sense that it could break at any moment.

In the crypto world, the only skill that truly measures a person is their ability to make money. Whether it's paid training camps or consulting, you're just a fool and you don't even deserve to charge 😒.
Use your brain a little more. You've already been exposed, and you're still following the same old domestic tricks—like making accounts and such. There's nothing worth paying for. As long as you're diligent and hardworking, you can do pretty well. Those looking for shortcuts will only end up as stepping stones for others #Gate广场四月发帖挑战 .

Mid-term outlook remains unchanged:
There is still a major crash ahead, but the timing is not yet here. After the big drop, buy the dip in spot markets—only go long.
Short-term outlook: The range hasn't broken down yet and may rebound. The magnitude is unknown, but I expect the 79,000-84,000 range, which offers an excellent risk-reward ratio.
Since the decline began on March 17, trading volume has remained low, even less than during the previous drop to 74,000. If a breakout occurs, a sharp decline is expected, which should involve more supply on the right side than in the middle segment.

$ETH
Last night, it dropped to 2012. When I woke up at 5 a.m., there was already a green candle on the 4H middle band, and I thought it was likely to go back up again.
This indeed confirms the previous idea. Currently, a double top pattern has formed, which often appears, and the market hasn't closed yet.
As for resistance, I personally set it at 2080. If it breaks through, 2110 should no longer act as resistance. The double top structure is a shorting opportunity. If I want to short again next time, I’ll wait for a situation like the one in the left chart.

Medium-term outlook remains unchanged:
There is still a major crash ahead, but the time has not yet arrived. After the big drop, buy the dip in spot markets—only go long.
Short-term outlook: The range still cannot be broken downward, and there will be a rebound. The height is unknown, but I expect the 79,000-84,000 range, which offers an excellent risk-reward ratio.
Since the decline began on March 17, trading volume has remained low, even less than during the previous drop to 74,000. If the range is to be broken, a significant drop should follow, with more supply on the right side than in the

Advice on spot trading: If you bought BTC around 60,000 after the 6th of last month, don't hold if it drops below 64,000; if it doesn't break, hold onto it. For ETH, don't hold if it drops below 1,900; if it doesn't break, keep holding. For SOL, reduce your position if it drops below 80; if it doesn't break, continue holding. It's best to have a core position in all of them. Because it's unlikely you'll always enter near the lowest point, as prices keep falling, your mindset will change. The spot you were supposed to bottom-fish at might become a point where you start hoping for even lower pri

The current decline is the third wave of the drop starting from 76, with two possible scenarios:
1. A retracement of the upward move from 60 to 76;
2. The beginning of a new decline, continuing the drop from 98 to 60;
The key level is at 63,400:
1. This level is the 0.786 retracement of the 60-76 upward wave, and also the 1:1 ratio of the decline from 76 to 67,332;
2. If the price stops falling and rebounds above this level, the probability of an adjustment is high. If it falls far below this level before stopping, then the probability of a new decline is high.

Including gold as well, it failed to rebound to 4800, only touching around 4600 at most. Subsequently, Trump kept Tacos, but the effect only worsened each time, making it impossible to suppress oil prices from rising back to 120, or even 150.
The upcoming script is very simple and clear: it will break below 60,000, then head straight to 52,000, with a slight rebound around 56,000. But it’s basically certain that the bullish trend is over, and there will be no more strength to resist or counterattack.

Medium-term view unchanged:
There will be one more major crash, but the timing isn't right yet. Once the big drop arrives, I'll go all-in on spot and just go long.
Short-term view: The range still can't break through, so there will be a rebound. The height is uncertain, but I expect the 79000-84000 range, which offers an excellent risk-reward ratio.
Since the decline on March 17th, it's been in a low-volume state, with even lower volume than the previous 74000 drop. If the range is to be broken, a major decline should be prepared. There should be more supply on the right side compared to the m

Yesterday during the day, there was a 2-hour level pullback, and from last night to today, there was a 4-6 hour level pullback. The pullback was very slow. Yesterday morning, I mentioned that the BTC high-altitude short 71400-70850-69666 was partially closed for profit. The ETH 2136-2188 short positions were monitored and closed for profit below 2100 at 2072-2056. No pattern.
74046-66080 = 7,966
7966*0.618 = 4,922.988
74046-4922 = 69,124 (short-term support. If today, Friday, closes down, it may pull back to this level)

Currently, friends who are shorting can open 3x short positions at 72500.
Concubines can lay in wait for short positions at 2115 and 2159.
You can also wait for the hourly divergence to directly go short.
Bear market divergence is very effective; it usually leads to a decline.
Caution is advised when bottom divergence occurs in a bear market.
It often results in a sideways rally before continuing to fall.

In March, I mainly focused on buying the dip boldly. When I start to predict that we are approaching the "top" (here, "top" refers to the potential rebound point after hitting the bottom at 59,800), I will provide early advice and judgment. Long positions between 66,000-65,000 should be partially held; waiting for the price to rise further before chasing will result in being whipped up and down.
Before ETH just rebounded, I also mentioned holding onto some long positions between 1960-1926.
For SOL, buying around 85-83 over the past couple of days has been very successful.

Sol 3-day level rebound has already formed and is ready to launch at any time. Do not chase shorts below 85.25. Support at 82-76 has been tested and formed a short-term bottom (phase bottom, the lowest point at 67 on 2.6 is not this year's lowest point). The high within two weeks could reach 104-106. There are two short-term resistance levels in the past two days: 90-94 (2-day line rebound high at 91; 5-day EMA7 around 90.85), and 96.6-98.5.
Since 90-92 was tested in the past two weeks but not stabilized, the 5-day EMA7 has been touched. Going higher, it will need to test the weekly EMA7 (94

The geopolitical black swan event has caused the crypto market to be completely abandoned as a risk asset. The sharp decline on February 28th was directly triggered by the escalation of Middle Eastern geopolitical conflicts, with Israel launching a military attack on Iran. Global funds panicked instantly, rushing into traditional safe-haven assets like gold and U.S. Treasuries. Many have always said that Bitcoin is "digital gold," but reality has harshly proven otherwise — when genuine geopolitical risks emerge, Bitcoin is not a safe-haven asset at all, but rather the first high-volatility ris

A9 Expert Shares: Trading methods are everywhere, but what is the core essence of sustainable profitability?
1. Learn to control stop-loss: Stop-loss is the foundation of taking profits and the first lesson in trading.
The purpose of stop-loss is to teach you to admit mistakes, to turn around, and to resonate with the market; stop-loss is a retreat to advance, with the goal of maintaining your integrity.

I don't know when it started, but suddenly I feel very disappointed with the crypto world. It's not because I lost money that I say this, but because everything seems so ridiculous. The New York Times reported on CZ's book title, and CZ had to clarify that the title is only tentative, leaving the possibility of changing it. CZ's intention was not to have his book title used for hype.
But with the prediction market booming, the memes related to the book title are mostly just pump-and-dump schemes. It's not hard to understand why many people are leaving the crypto space to invest in stocks, feel