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$BTC: The price could have started a wave-(4) pullback. Support is between $70,609 - $68,694. A break below $67,707 would be the first sign that the pattern is breaking to the downside.
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$BTC on the weekly chart During previous bear markets, the 21-week MA has acted as key resistance. That level currently sits around $79,120, making it an important area to watch for rejection or continuation.
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$BTC is trending higher, with $75,967 acting as key resistance for bulls. A wave-(4) support is between $70,609–$68,694.
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$BTC needs to break above $75,967 to invalidate the current short-term bearish structure. This would signal that bulls are regaining control. As long as price remains below this level, downside pressure remains. Key support to maintain upside momentum sits at $68,516.
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$BTC: I still view this upside move as an extension of the current structure. Key support for a pullback sits between $70,201 – $68,451. After a pullback, one more push higher is needed for a first degree confirmation that a local low is in.
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$ETH: The move up appears corrective (3-wave structure) and may have completed a wave-(c) of wave 2. A break above $2,402 would suggest a local bottom is in place. Failure to break above this level keeps the bearish structure intact.
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$BTC: Support for a potential wave-(4) pullback lies between $69,977–$68,316. Another high would provide initial confirmation that price is following the white path. A break below $67,707 would invalidate the structure and suggest downside continuation.
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$BTC has broken above $71,758, invalidating the immediate downside scenario. The next objective for bulls is a break above $75,967. As long as price remains below this level, the downside roadmap remains valid.
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$BTC: As communicated today, the $68,055 price level was critical to keep the upside momentum intact. The price reversed precisly at that key level. The price should now remain above the last swing low at $67,707.
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$BTC reacted precisely around the 100% Fib extension highlighted earlier. Key micro support sits at $68,055, holding this level keeps short-term upside momentum intact. A break below would be the first indication that the yellow roadmap scenario is starting to play out.
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Don’t trade to feel something, trade to execute a plan.
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$ETH: Ideally, the price pushes a bit higher in wave-(C) of 2. The 100% Fib level is located at $2,248. As long as the price remains below $2,379, the yellow roadmap is leading.
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$BTC price has reached the 100% Fib extension level already. This is the ideal target for a wave-(2) high in yellow. Micro support for further extensions to the upside is at $68,055.
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$BTC has broken above the descending trendline, suggesting a larger ABC structure may be unfolding within wave-(2). The 100% Fib extension sits at $70,062. A confirmed 5-wave move above $72,891+ would provide the first signal that a local bottom is in.
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$BTC price is getting squeezed between the descending trendline and the $64,974 level. Price is king. Both scenarios are still valid.
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$BTC: The current bounce lacks strength and still looks corrective, not a confirmed bottom. A break above the descending trendline would support a move into a higher wave-(2) in yellow. While price remains below $75,967, the yellow roadmap remains the preferred scenario.
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Adapting to market conditions is key. The market doesn’t adjust to you; you adjust to it.
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$ETH price reacted at the 50% Fib retracement and is now retesting the descending trendline from above. A larger ABC correction in wave-(2) remains on the table. A break below $1,946 would indicate wave-(2) has topped and wave-(3) is unfolding to the downside.
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$BTC: Price reversed to the upside and is holding above the key level. As long as price remains above the last swing low at $65,730, a wave-(3) to the upside could be the next move. That said, the yellow roadmap remains in control for now.
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$BTC has broken below micro support, the first indication that price may be leaning toward the short-term bearish scenario (yellow). A break below $64,974 would further confirm this outlook. That said, the bullish (white) roadmap remains valid for now, though it’s becoming less
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