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When the crypto market enters Altcoin Season, this cycle often represents a window of opportunity for the collective breakout of digital assets other than Bitcoin. This market phenomenon is not random but follows clear market laws. Looking back at past market trends in early 2026, we find that Altcoin Season has become a regular occurrence in mature markets rather than an occasional event.
Understanding the Definition and Market Dynamics of Altcoin Season
Altcoin Season essentially refers to a specific period when alternative tokens surpass Bitcoin in market dominance. Unlike early markets, the driving forces behind modern Altcoin Seasons have undergone a fundamental shift—from simple capital flow from Bitcoin to altcoins to a complex ecosystem dominated by stablecoin liquidity and institutional capital deepening.
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Since its inception in 2009, Bitcoin has become the most representative cryptocurrency asset worldwide, breaking the boundaries of traditional currency forms. However, to understand the long-term value logic of Bitcoin, many analysts and investors have turned to an intriguing theoretical framework—the Stock-to-Flow model. This model, originating from commodity market analysis, has now become an important tool for predicting Bitcoin price trends. This article will delve into the core principles of this model, its practical applications, and its real value in today’s market.
Stock-to-Flow Model: A Mathematical Framework for Understanding Bitcoin Scarcity
The Stock-to-Flow model is essentially a quantitative analysis method for commodity scarcity. Originally used to assess the value foundation of precious metals like gold and silver, it later

What is Web3? It's not just another term in the tech industry — it's a response to the growing disillusionment of millions of users with the current internet structure. While Web2 gave us social networks and cloud services, it also handed full control over our data to the largest tech companies.

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