Yajing
#FedRateCutPrediction
#December8 #FedRateCutPrediction #美联储降息预测
📉 Final FOMC Meeting of the Year — Will the 25BP Cut Spark a Market Rebound?
With the Fed’s last rate decision of 2025 just around the corner (3:00 AM UTC+8 this Thursday), the market is pricing in an 84% probability of a 25BP rate cut.
But the bigger question is: What happens next?
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🔍 My Rate Cut Prediction
I’m leaning toward a single 25BP cut this week.
Here’s why:
Inflation has cooled faster than expected in Q4.
Labor market softness gives the Fed room to ease.
Real rates are still high — a small cut won’t harm credibilit
#December8 #FedRateCutPrediction #美联储降息预测
📉 Final FOMC Meeting of the Year — Will the 25BP Cut Spark a Market Rebound?
With the Fed’s last rate decision of 2025 just around the corner (3:00 AM UTC+8 this Thursday), the market is pricing in an 84% probability of a 25BP rate cut.
But the bigger question is: What happens next?
---
🔍 My Rate Cut Prediction
I’m leaning toward a single 25BP cut this week.
Here’s why:
Inflation has cooled faster than expected in Q4.
Labor market softness gives the Fed room to ease.
Real rates are still high — a small cut won’t harm credibilit