2025-12-13 17:24:52

Many people mistake correlation for causation, which is a logical fallacy. Take immigration and birth rates as an example; many analyses confuse the two. But what is the actual situation? Europe's birth rate has been declining for a long time, and this is not a recent development—it has been ongoing for decades. You can't blame recent population movements as the main cause; the underlying economic and social factors are much more complex. The relationship between birth rates and migration is far from straightforward. To truly understand demographic changes, you need to look at deeper factors such as economic cycles, education costs, and living pressures, rather than simply pointing to a single variable. This is crucial for understanding global macro trends and long-term economic patterns.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

21 Likes

Reward
21
10
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

NftBankruptcyClub

· 2025-12-16 14:42

That's right, people just love to pass the buck now. It's not that simple. People really can't figure out the logic behind the declining birth rate... Honestly, it all comes down to fundamental issues like education costs. Talking about immigration is really enough; the data is right there, and blaming is missing the main contradiction. That's the truth. With such huge economic pressure, who dares to have children? Passing the buck won't help anyone. The key is to understand the deeper reasons; otherwise, it's just pointless chatter.

View OriginalReply0

OnchainArchaeologist

· 2025-12-16 01:49

Well said, so many people like to find scapegoats; the truth is often overlooked. The decline in birth rate has really been going on for decades, it’s not something caused overnight by a certain policy, but everyone loves to shift the blame. Economic pressure, housing prices, educational costs—these are the real killers. Why blame immigration? It’s probably just laziness to analyze the root causes; pointing directly at obvious targets is much easier. Correlation ≠ causation, unfortunately many media outlets still haven’t understood this principle.

View OriginalReply0

MetaMisery

· 2025-12-14 01:05

The issue of fertility rate is so complicated, and there are still many people blaming immigration. It's really outrageous.

View OriginalReply0

CryptoFortuneTeller

· 2025-12-13 17:52

Honestly, many people are just too lazy to think. When they see two things happening at the same time, they assume a cause-and-effect relationship. The issue of birth rates has been beaten to death long ago. The real problem lies in economic pressure—housing, education, jobs... which one isn't the main factor?

View OriginalReply0

ResearchChadButBroke

· 2025-12-13 17:49

The issue of fertility rates, to put it simply, is about economic pressure. It has nothing to do directly with immigration, but anyone with a brain can see that...

View OriginalReply0

CryptoPunster

· 2025-12-13 17:34

Ha, yet another textbook example of "correlation does not imply causation," but it’s indeed a valid point. Blaming the plunge in birth rates on immigration is as poor as blaming the entire crypto market crash on the Federal Reserve. We need to look deeper, everyone. Economic cycles, tuition costs—these fundamental issues are the true culprits. The background is too complex; simplistic and blunt explanations often attract the most attention. To truly understand macroeconomics, you need to broaden your perspective and not always be led by superficial correlations. --- The decline in birth rates has been ongoing for a long time. Blaming immigration is unjust; we should look at deeper factors like economic pressure and education costs. --- This logical problem is also common in the crypto world... Blaming everything on a single variable results in skewed analysis. --- Blaming recent events for decades-long trends? Wake up; complex factors are the main players.

View OriginalReply0

BearWhisperGod

· 2025-12-13 17:30

The birth rate has already collapsed, and only recently did I notice any relation to immigration... These media outlets just love to pick soft targets.

View OriginalReply0

BrokenYield

· 2025-12-13 17:27

nah this is just correlation matrix noise masquerading as analysis. fertility's been tanking for decades but everyone wants a scapegoat... classic pattern recognition failure tbh. the real systemic risk? nobody's pricing in the actual economic fundamentals driving demographic collapse.

Reply0

CommunitySlacker

· 2025-12-13 17:27

Well said. Too many people assume causality just because one thing follows another, without thinking it through. The fertility rate has been declining for decades. Blaming immigrants? That's laughable. Money issues, education problems, and living pressure—these are the real main factors.

View OriginalReply0