Analysis: Today is the first monthly settlement day after the annual settlement, with bullish options dominating the market.

BTC-1,16%
ETH-0,68%

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Greeks.live posted on the X platform:

91,000 BTC options are expiring, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.48, the maximum pain point at $90,000, and a notional value of $7.6 billion.

435,000 ETH options are expiring, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.68, the maximum pain point at $3,000, and a notional value of $1.19 billion.

Today is the first monthly expiration after the annual settlement, with nearly $9 billion worth of options expiring, accounting for 25% of the total open interest. Call options dominate the market. Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have entered a sharp decline since yesterday, and the recent rare relief has been overshadowed again by panic, which is now a residual effect of the significant drop in Q4 last year. Currently, the $80,000 level for BTC and the $2,500 level for ETH provide strong support.

From the main options data, the implied volatility for BTC and ETH has risen significantly, with BTC’s main-term IV averaging around 45%, and ETH’s main-term IV at 60%, both reaching their highest levels this year.

The volume and trading share of large options transactions remain high, mainly driven by repositioning needs. Market makers and active traders are holding more cash, showing strong willingness to trade, with the greatest demand for protective puts.

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