Analysis: Bitcoin is negatively correlated with Japan's 10-year government bonds. If the Bank of Japan stabilizes the bonds, it may trigger a rebound in Bitcoin.

BTC-0,18%

BlockBeats News, January 23 — Delphi Digital stated, "Bitcoin price is stagnating while gold continues to rise. The reason may lie in Japanese government bonds. Typically, rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, thereby putting pressure on gold. However, when gold and yields rise in tandem, the market is actually pricing in policy pressures and balance sheet vulnerabilities rather than economic growth.

The yield on Japan’s 10-year government bonds is currently about 3.65 standard deviations above the long-term average. The Bank of Japan structurally holds long-term bonds and is deeply exposed to Japanese government bonds in terms of assets and collateral.

Gold is absorbing this pressure, while Bitcoin is negatively correlated with Japanese 10-year government bonds. Over the longer term, as Japanese yields rise, Bitcoin has generally struggled. If the Bank of Japan intervenes to stabilize the bond market, the risk premium in gold may ease, and Bitcoin could also see room for a rebound."

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

Is Bitcoin mispricing a prolonged Iran war? Ex-hedge fund manager weighs in

James Lavish warns Bitcoin holders that continued conflict in Iran could trigger inflation and market downturns. While Bitcoin may face further declines, he sees potential long-term opportunities. He discusses the impact of global economic pressures on investments.

Cointelegraph12m ago

Bitcoin Holds Steady Near $67K Amid Bullish and Geopolitical Tension

This weekend, Bitcoin ($BTC) has shown a steady performance in line with a blend of technical and geopolitical outlook. In this respect, Bitcoin ($BTC) is changing hands at $67K with significant support levels at $64K and $65K and notable resistance at $74K. As per the data from CRYPTO Damus, the

BlockChainReporter39m ago

Metaplanet Responds to JPX Regulatory Update Consultation: It Does Not Affect the Advancement of Its Bitcoin Strategy, With More Than 216,000 Japanese Shareholders Already Participating

Metaplanet CEO Simon Gerovich said he respects the decision by a Japanese exchange to delay the inclusion of cryptocurrency companies, and emphasized that the company will continue to pursue its Bitcoin strategy. Through the “Project Nova” project, it will help develop Japan’s Bitcoin ecosystem; it has already attracted more than 216k shareholders and will continue to communicate with all parties.

GateNews1h ago

Bitcoin facing quantum risk: The paths to protect the biggest blockchains

A quantum computer powerful enough to break the Bitcoin blockchain does not exist yet. However, developers have already begun discussing a wave of upgrades aimed at building a defensive layer against this potential threat — and that is completely well-founded, because this risk is no longer a purely hypothetical scenario.

TapChiBitcoin1h ago

Price predictions 4/3: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL, DOGE, HYPE, ADA, BCH, LINK

Key points: Buyers are attempting to maintain BTC above the $66,500 level, but several analysts believe that the $60,000 level may crack. Some major altcoins risk breaking below their immediate support levels, signaling that bears remain in control. Buyers are attempting to push an

Cointelegraph2h ago

Rich Bitcoin traders lost $337M daily in first quarter of 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) traders holding 100–10,000 BTC realized losses at an average of $337 million per day in Q1 2026, the worst quarter since 2022, according to data from Glassnode. Key takeaways: Bitcoin dropped more than 20% after whales last realized losses at a comparable pace in 2022.

Cointelegraph2h ago
Comment
0/400
No comments