Gate News bot, QCP said in its latest market analysis that the unexpected increase in the number of job openings ahead of Friday's key non-farm payrolls data boosted risk sentiment, and the S&P 500 index approached the psychologically important threshold of 6,000 points. Stable non-farm payrolls data will reinforce the Fed's rhetoric about the resilience of the labor market and reinforce expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged. On the trade front, markets remain on the sidelines ahead of the expected US-China talks. Bitcoin's front-end volatility has retreated, with the spot price hovering around the familiar $105,000. BTC continues to be range-bound, with thin positions and normalized skewness, indicating a lack of directional belief. Since May, the volatility curve has flattened from mid to late periods, echoing a similar decline in the Volatility Index (VIX) and sparking opportunistic long Vega trades. Notably, the premium on the $130,000 call option has risen to 47v in September, suggesting that there will be some upside in the market heading into Q3. Looking ahead, the third quarter is likely to be more challenging. Tariff-related impacts are likely to start to trickle down into macro data, while fiscal risks around the Big Beautiful Act (BBB) and the debt ceiling could create potential overall volatility. In the absence of a clear catalyst, Bitcoin is unlikely to break out of the current range significantly.
