Here’s XRP Price if XRP Follows Bitcoin Price Trajectory After Spot ETF Debut

With investors anticipating spot XRP ETFs to mirror the success of the Bitcoin ETFs, how high could XRP go if the price also followed the same trajectory?

The XRP community recently witnessed the launch of the first spot XRP ETF, the Canary Capital XRP ETF (XRPC). After a successful debut, which saw the ETF record about $245 million worth of inflows, the product has maintained a positive showing for two more days, now holding $277.82 million worth of XRP.

Interestingly, XRP community members found that the Canary Capital XRP ETF performed better than BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), which saw $111.6 million on its debut. However, XRPC has since fallen short of the subsequent performances observed by IBIT.

Despite this, several market pundits have explored the possibility of XRP ETFs witnessing a similar level of success that Bitcoin ETFs recorded. While they may not equal the Bitcoin ETF inflows, they could attract enough capital to the market to impact the XRP price in the same fashion Bitcoin ETFs did for the BTC price.

Notably, Bitcoin ETFs saw a cumulative total net inflow of $36.2 billion as of Jan. 11, 2025, a year after they launched. XRP proponents have conceded that XRP may not see such a high level of inflows. However, if the capital influx is substantial enough, XRP, being a smaller asset, may not need that much inflow to push higher.

XRP Price if XRP Follows BTC Trajectory

Amid these prospects, we recently assessed how much XRP could rise if its price followed Bitcoin’s trajectory a year after the ETFs’ debut. For context, when the Bitcoin ETFs began trading on Jan. 11, 2024, the BTC price stood at $46,678. A year later, by Jan. 11, 2025, the price had soared to $94,975, representing a 103% increase within this period.

If XRP price followed a similar trajectory, it could rise to a new all-time high, albeit modest by some analysts’ standards. Specifically, when XRPC began trading on Nov. 13, 2025, the XRP price stood at $2.386. If XRP replicated a similar 103% rise as Bitcoin, its price would reach $4.83 in November 2026.

While this represents an increase from the current position, the bullish consensus within the community expects much higher targets. For instance, in June, market analyst EGRAG revealed how the XRP price could push to prices ranging from $6.5 to $27.

Most recently, EGRAG also presented four XRPBTC simulation models around the different paths the pair could take. Combined, these models place the XRP price at an average of $11. The market analyst also said in July that XRP was eyeing a possible run to $11, but suggested that $27 may not be off the table.