CryptoQuant研究员:2个关键指标显示比特币牛市周期正稳定发展

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Odaily星球日报讯 CryptoQuant 研究员 Axel Adler 在近日发布的一份报告中关注了两个关键指标:泡沫 vs 破碎(Bubble vs。Crush)市场结构和 MVRV Z-score,作为比特币当前价格走势正朝着健康方向发展的信号。 Adler 补充称:“我们可以看到,目前的牛市周期正在相当稳定地发展,没有明显的异常现象或大幅跃升。” 其强调,第一个指标已经下降到 1.02 分,他认为这是“基线(the baseline)”,这表明比特币目前没有经历泡沫。 当比特币市值“增长速度”超过其已实现资本(realized capitalization)时,市场就会形成泡沫。当比特币达到 73,679 美元的历史高点时,该指标显示存在泡沫,得分约为 1.5。 其还指出,比特币的 30 天移动均线(DMA)MVRV Z-Score 为 1.8,略高于比特币 1.6 的年平均水平,这表明“估值高估程度最低”。(Cointelegraph)

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