Today, the group was again talking about "coincidental transfers to a certain address = trying to cause trouble." I almost FOMO'd and followed the trend at first... but many "coincidences" on the chain can actually be broken down into a few honest paths: exchange hot wallet consolidation/distribution, cross-chain bridge bundling, market maker rebalancing, or even just multi-signature transfers between cold wallets.

Look at the timeline: whether the same batch of funds is moving back and forth, whether the transfer points are fixed, whether the gas fees and notes look like they come from the same group—these can basically cut the "mystery" in half.

Should I believe this wave of de-pegging rumors?
First check the reserve audits and on-chain redemption/minting flows, then decide whether to reduce my position...

Anyway, my current approach is pretty simple: when I see large abnormal transactions, I take a screenshot for evidence, and I don’t rush to act; if I really need to, I set a stop-loss to prevent emotional trading from sending my small position away.