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A couple of weeks ago, the war between the U.S. and Iran started on a Saturday, and here’s the interesting part: Bitcoin was literally the only major asset being traded when everything exploded. It dropped 8.5% that first day, but since then it has been recovering in a way that honestly surpasses what we’ve seen in other markets.
What strikes me most is how Bitcoin has handled each negative news event since then. Every time there’s a headline about Iranian retaliation or new attacks, it gets sold off. But here’s the fascinating part: each sale finds buyers at a higher level than the previous one. We’re talking about an upward floor where the lows have been rising by $1,000 to $2,000 after each geopolitical event.
In concrete numbers, it bottomed out at $64,000 on February 28. Then at $66,000 after the Iranian missile strikes. By early March, it was at $68,000. And after the oil tanker attacks, it stayed close to $69,400. Now it’s around $70,000–$71,000. The compression is clear: the range is tightening from below while facing resistance around $73,000–$74,000.
But what’s truly remarkable is how it compares to other assets over these two weeks. Oil rose more than 40% because, well, there’s a war. The S&P 500 is down. Gold has been bouncing in both directions. Asian stocks had their worst week since March 2020. And Bitcoin, which is supposedly a safe haven, is outperforming almost all of them. Its performance exceeds that of these traditional assets.
This is interesting because Bitcoin doesn’t behave like a typical safe haven. It keeps selling off with each negative headline. But it recovers faster each time, and each recovery is sustained at a higher level. It’s as if it has become a 24/7 liquidity pool that absorbs geopolitical shocks faster than anything else simply because it’s the only market open when these impacts arrive.
Let’s compare this to what happened in early February. There was a cascade of liquidations that wiped out $2.5 billion in leveraged positions over a weekend when Bitcoin dropped to $77,000. It was the kind of event that could have damaged market confidence for months. But instead, it seems to have weeded out the weaker operators and left a more agile market that has absorbed each war-related headline without repeating those forced sales.
Macro context also adds perspective. Trump said he pardoned the Kharg Island oil infrastructure “for decency’s sake” but would reconsider if Iran continued blocking the Strait of Hormuz. Iran responded that any attack on its energy infrastructure would trigger retaliation against U.S. facilities. If that happens, the already historic supply disruption would worsen significantly.
What all this tells us is that Bitcoin has become something different from what it was a few years ago. It’s not purely a safe haven or a risk asset. It’s an impact absorption tool that operates 24/7, and that surpasses any other asset class when traditional markets are closed and geopolitical volatility needs a place to flow.