With the US-Iran conflict easing temporarily, the expected two-week ceasefire has significantly boosted market confidence. Risk assets have rebounded across the board, and the bulls have taken the opportunity to push higher, with bearish pressure being notably released.

Market sentiment has rapidly shifted from haven-seeking panic to optimistic chasing of rising prices, and the market has entered a typical phase driven by both news and sentiment. The four-hour technical structure shows that the price is rising steadily with support from the midline; after breaking through a key range with expanding volume, the short-term bullish trend is temporarily established.

But it is important to focus on this: the current price level has already entered a strong overhead pressure zone, with sell pressure gradually increasing above. The risk of chasing longs at high levels is starting to build up. If, going forward, there is insufficient follow-through from funds or sentiment cools down, a pullback after a rally is highly likely.

Trading recommendation: short directly at the current price 71650 for aggressive traders; short near 72200-72800 for more conservative traders; look for support at 70600-70000. If it breaks below 69200 and 68000.
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