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4.6 Review of Emotional Divergence, Post-Starshine Ring Material Market Strategy
Hi everyone, I’m Zhouqi Weiwan, and I only trade using the strategic cycle [Taoguba]
Every month, there are 10-day doubling stocks in the market. The character of doubling stocks: self-improvement without cease, and virtue that bears all things
My own review, watching the market, and trading are all concentrated on the 10-day gain leaderboard interval
The 10-day gain leaderboard is a bull-bone concentration camp + the barometer of the stock market + the Whampoa Military Academy for stock traders
The previous post explained the emotional cycle—how to dig out and identify key nodes for the monthly big leader stocks—along with a related breakdown of recent emotionally driven stocks
So on 4.2, after last Thursday, the market strategy:
Since Xinghui is positioned as the emotional leader and driver, then the market’s short-term main capital has to look at Xinghui’s performance. If it’s strong, the market will follow its lead and fan out with the same style of play. If it’s weak, then other capital in the market will also be cautious. Therefore, Xinghui acts as the leader, the locomotive
On Friday, it opened higher by 8%, rapidly rushed for a limit-up board, but couldn’t hold and then broke the board
This basically matches the prediction: 10% premium, with the highest push reaching 20%. This time, the first-mover advantage and gift the market teachers gave is still quite powerful
Why couldn’t Xinghui hold after it got above 20? Because recently, the market’s “height level” and emotion reached 10 days and 100%, and things get stuck here. So some of the funds hesitated a bit. First-mover profit-taking funds, if they couldn’t break through and press higher, would directly lock in and cash out. That’s why you see the moving averages entwining—then, as sentiment worsened further, it surged up and then fell back. So for those who entered the day before, especially board-chasing players, during the morning when it was entwining around the moving averages, that’s the point to cut positions or exit. Human nature is that when you’re up at the highs you don’t want to leave, but when it pulls back you regret it. So this depends on your personal risk appetite—no one can unify it for everyone
As for why I sold after a limit-up rejection and left—why did I do that?
Because I chased it off a board in the second board stage, so after two days last Friday I already had 40+ profit. I felt I’d eaten enough and was more than satisfied, so I cashed out directly
As mentioned above, it’s like the Sunflower from last September that I did
History won’t simply repeat, but it will be astonishingly similar. With the same pattern of three-to-four, it quickly pushes to a board at the open, then breaks the board
There are two reasons: 1. The timing node hasn’t arrived 2. This is just the new cycle’s emotional pioneer that opens the road—after that, there will be other players taking the baton as the locomotive, like a 400-meter relay race
So my response is: if it breaks the board, I leave. Only taking profit into your pocket is what counts as profit; otherwise it’s just paper wealth
Market outlook / thinking:
Does Xinghui end here, or just take a brief rest?
Its “thunder tribulation” is the 10-day 100%—the process of turning into a fairy (the “must-pass” path). If it passes, then keep going. If it doesn’t, then it gets knocked back to its original form
Two possible走势 (setups) exist
Failed three-to-four into a weak-to-strong turn, then it regroups and runs another wave
The second one resembles Zhongfu Shenying, and Snowlang Environmental—first signal weakness with a big drop, then later find the opportunity for a weak-to-strong reversal
Ends right here—swap to another stronger one appearing
Which specific kind of setup depends on verifying with the next few trading days
All my views and trades start from the big picture first, and only then fan out downward. I believe trading requires focus and concentration, otherwise in the first few minutes at the open, there are too many things to look at, making it hard to view everything comprehensively. My thinking also needs to stay consistently connected to be understood
Individual stocks have distinctiveness, and fans also have distinctiveness—let your actions show me your distinctiveness. Like + reward isn’t because it’s lacking; it’s just that I want a form of recognition—that’s all. Wishing my loyal iron-fan friends good luck on the stock market and a smooth ride. If you have any questions, you can leave comments on the post to discuss and exchange
I also want to thank the friends who rewarded and supported me with the previous post