September 2025 US Non-Farm Employment Index Release Delayed, Signals Weakening Labor Market

DeFiCaffeinator · 2026-02-24T21:11:31+00:00

The delay in the U.S. non-farm payroll index release, caused by a federal government shutdown, has created uncertainty in the financial market. With expected job growth slowing and an unemployment rate of 4.3%, recent statistics complicate economic assessments for policymakers.

DeFiCaffeinator

2026-02-24 21:11:31

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The U.S. non-farm payrolls are an important indicator of economic health, but this release was delayed beyond the original schedule. Due to the federal government shutdown, the publication of the September 2025 non-farm employment data was postponed and only recently announced. This delay has created a time gap in understanding the current state of the U.S. labor market.

Delay in Data Release Due to Federal Government Shutdown

The longest federal government shutdown in U.S. history caused the September employment report, originally scheduled for October 3, 2025, to be postponed. This administrative gap halted the Census Bureau’s data collection and verification processes, affecting the release schedule. The U.S. non-farm payrolls are a key economic indicator influencing market expectations, and the delay has introduced uncertainty in financial markets.

Expected U.S. Non-Farm Payroll Figures and Signs of Labor Market Cooling

The new jobs added in the non-farm sector for September 2025 are projected to increase from 22,000 in August to 50,000. This growth suggests the labor market is gradually cooling. At the same time, the unemployment rate is expected to remain at around 4.3%, with average hourly wages rising by 0.3% month-over-month, leading to an annual increase of approximately 4.7%. These figures reflect a moderate slowdown in labor demand and stabilization in wage growth.

Cancellation of October Employment Report and Data Collection Gap

The October non-farm employment report was canceled due to budget allocation delays. This was because the Current Population Survey (CPS) household data collection could not be conducted during October 2025. As a result, employment statistics for two consecutive months were missing or delayed, making it difficult to accurately track employment trends in the U.S. economy. This has posed challenges for policymakers and market participants in decision-making.

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