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Based on historical experience, each bear market cycle goes through three stages:
1. Retail panic (already started)
2. Institutional profit-taking (in progress)
3. Steadfast holders surrender (not yet reached)
We are currently in the second stage, and there may still be a long way to go before reaching the true bottom.
Moreover, this time there is a special situation: the macro environment is more complex than ever before.
Trump's tariff policies, tensions in Iran and the US, and Nvidia's earnings pressure—each one is a ticking time bomb.