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 is trading around $78,761, down more than 10% over the past two weeks. Market sentiment remains extremely cautious (Fear & Greed Index: 17 – “Extreme Fear”). Daily RSI indicates near overbought conditions, suggesting that short-term price corrections remain possible.
📢 Macro & News Factors
Recent price movement has been influenced by Fed policy expectations and broader market weakness, including NASDAQ performance.
Analyst consensus indicates that BTC may complete a short-term consolidation/adjustment phase in H1 2026, establishing stronger support levels before potential upward movement.
Bernstein projects possible price tests down to $60k during the first half of 2026, with stabilization and recovery potential in H2.
📈 Technical Overview
Support Levels: $77,745 – $77,780
Resistance Levels: $78,997 – $79,103
Current trend: sideways consolidation with moderate volatility. Price remains within defined technical zones, showing no clear breakout pattern.
🔮 Strategic Insights
Short-term rebound depends on technical support holding, improved sentiment, and stable trading volume.
H1 2026: Expect primarily sideways or minor downward price movement.
H2 2026: Rebound potential increases if macroeconomic conditions stabilize.
Investors and market observers can benefit from monitoring liquidity, support/resistance zones, and market sentiment without speculative bias.
⚠️ Risk Note: Crypto markets are inherently volatile. Sudden macroeconomic developments or market-wide shifts can impact prices. Maintaining disciplined risk management and defined stop-loss levels is essential.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is not investment advice. The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only, based on current market data and analysis. Always conduct your own research and manage risks accordingly.
$BTC